Police vs Marines: match statistics
Police vs Marines: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Police play Marines in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 18:30. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Police: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Marines: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Police scores 0.82 and concedes 0.56 goals per match. Marines scores 1.38 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Police 35%, Marines 59%. Over 2.5: Police 18%, Marines 44%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Marines has higher xG: 1.16 vs 1.13. Police: 6.1 shots per match, Marines: 6.9.
Match halves
Police: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.47. Marines: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Police: 76-90+ (8 goals). Marines: 31-45+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Police hold a clear defensive edge at home — conceding only 0.71 goals per home match and boasting a +5 home goal difference, while Marines concede 1.36 goals per away match and have an away goal difference of -2. Offensively Marines look stronger on the season (34 goals vs Police’s 23) and average 1.21 goals away compared to the hosts’ 1.07 at home; their away xG is 1.30 vs the hosts’ xG 1.21, indicating a slight quality advantage in chances for the visitors. In the last 5 matches Police scored 4 and conceded 6, averaging 0.8 points per match, whereas Marines scored 7 and conceded 5, translating to 1.6 points per match; this improves the visitors’ prospects for an away result. Marines generate more shots on target (3.64 SoT per match vs 2.92 for the hosts), but Police have a higher conversion rate at home (17% vs 15%), so the visitors create more opportunities while the hosts are more efficient with fewer chances. Considering Police’s strong home defence and superior goal difference (+5 vs -2), I project a narrow home win, although Marines’ offensive activity and better form increase the probability of a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Police | Marines | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.48 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Marines is 68% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Police · 1.38 goals / match - Marines
Police is 125% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.56 goals / match - Police · 1.26 goals / match - Marines
Police scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Marines keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
Marines scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 47% (16 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Police
Over / Under — Marines
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Marines is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Police · 1.68 pts / match - Marines
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Police - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Marines - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Police
Marines
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Police | Liga | Marines | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.38 | 2.12 | ▲ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 46% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 38% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 61% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Police 1 - 0 - 0 Marines. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Police vs Marines?
The National Soccer League match finished Police 2:0 Marines. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Police vs Marines?
Police score 0.82 goals per game on average and Marines 1.38. The National Soccer League average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Police's matches and 59% of Marines's.
What form are Police and Marines in?
Over the last 5 games Police have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Marines 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police vs Marines?
The statistical background for Police vs Marines — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.