Police vs Musanze: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Police played Musanze in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 30 November 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Police: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Musanze: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Police scores 1.11 and concedes 0.44 goals per match. Musanze scores 1.38 and concedes 0.88. League average: 1.77 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Police 44%, Musanze 50%. Over 2.5: Police 33%, Musanze 25%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 23%.

xG, shots and style

Police has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.21. Police: 7.0 shots per match, Musanze: 7.0.

Match halves

Police: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.56. Musanze: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Police: 16-30 (4 goals). Musanze: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.77 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 23%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
PoliceMusanze
2Shots5
PoliceMusanze
1Shots on target1
PoliceMusanze
0.58xG0.81
PoliceMusanze
3Corners5
PoliceMusanze
51Dangerous attacks56
PoliceMusanze
19Fouls8
PoliceMusanze
0Cards0
PoliceMusanze

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.11Goals scored / match1.38
PoliceMusanze
0.44Goals conceded / match0.88
PoliceMusanze
53%Average possession59%
PoliceMusanze
3.11Shots on target / match2.75
PoliceMusanze

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7Shots per match7
PoliceMusanze
3.11Shots on target2.75
PoliceMusanze
15.9%Shot conversion19.6%
PoliceMusanze
53%Possession59%
PoliceMusanze
1.33xG for1.21
PoliceMusanze
0.84xG against1.28
PoliceMusanze

Shooting quality

Police: Efficient finishingMusanze: Efficient finishing
PoliceMusanze
Accuracy (shots on target)44%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Musanze is 22% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Police · 2.2 pts / match - Musanze

Police
WDDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.11Opponent xG: 0.88BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Musanze
DDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W38% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-1
1.88 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
LDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.52BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Musanze is 24% better for: goals scored per match.

1.11 goals / match - Police · 1.38 goals / match - Musanze

Police is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.44 goals / match - Police · 0.88 goals / match - Musanze

Police scoring profile: strong

Police scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

Musanze scoring profile: mixed

Musanze scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Police keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 matches).

10Goals scored (season)11
PoliceMusanze
4Goals conceded (season)7
PoliceMusanze
1.56Average goals in match2.25
PoliceMusanze
5Goals scored (last 5)9
PoliceMusanze
3Goals conceded (last 5)5
PoliceMusanze

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal75%
PoliceMusanze
33%2 goals38%
PoliceMusanze
0%3 goals25%
PoliceMusanze
0%4 goals0%
PoliceMusanze

How often they concede at least...

44%1 goal63%
PoliceMusanze
0%2 goals25%
PoliceMusanze
0%3 goals0%
PoliceMusanze
0%4 goals0%
PoliceMusanze

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time13%
PoliceMusanze
0%BTTS in both halves13%
PoliceMusanze
33%Scored in both halves13%
PoliceMusanze

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
PoliceMusanze
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
PoliceMusanze
60%BTTS - last 560%
PoliceMusanze

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time38%
PoliceMusanze
11%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
PoliceMusanze
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
PoliceMusanze

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
PoliceMusanze
22%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
PoliceMusanze
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
PoliceMusanze

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Police is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.89 pts / match - Police · 1.38 pts / match - Musanze

Police - half-time state
44% leading56% draw0% trailing
Musanze - half-time state
25% leading63% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.89Points per match (1st half)1.38
PoliceMusanze
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.63
PoliceMusanze
0.11Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
PoliceMusanze
0.67Average goals (1st half)0.88
PoliceMusanze
89%Clean sheet before half-time75%
PoliceMusanze
44%No goal before half-time75%
PoliceMusanze

After half-time (2nd half)

1.56Points per match (2nd half)1.38
PoliceMusanze
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
PoliceMusanze
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
PoliceMusanze
0.89Average goals (2nd half)1.38
PoliceMusanze
67%Clean sheet after half-time50%
PoliceMusanze
44%No goal after half-time38%
PoliceMusanze

Police - second-half results

33% W56% D11% L
17
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Musanze - second-half results

25% W63% D13% L
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Police - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Musanze - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Police
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
4
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Musanze
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.91
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Police

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
48%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Musanze

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

PoliceLigaMusanze
Average goals in match 1.561.77 2.25
Both teams scored 44%37% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%23% 25%
Clean sheets 56%40% 38%
Goal before half-time 56%52% 38%
Goal after half-time 67%66% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.77
Average goals per match
37%
Both teams scored
23%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.85
Home goals / match
0.92
Away goals / match
+-8%
Home attack advantage
+-8%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
52%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
1%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Police vs Musanze?

The National Soccer League match finished Police 1:1 Musanze. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Police vs Musanze?

Police score 1.11 goals per game on average and Musanze 1.38. The National Soccer League average is 1.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 23% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Police's matches and 50% of Musanze's.

What form are Police and Musanze in?

Over the last 5 games Police have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Musanze 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Police vs Musanze?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Police vs Musanze: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.