Polkowice vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec: match statistics

Polkowice are clearly more effective at home, averaging 3.00 goals per match, while Zagłębie Sosnowiec score just 1.17 goals away from home. The hosts have won 75% of their home matches and remain unbeaten, whereas the visitors have won only 33% of their away fixtures and lost half of them. Polkowice also create more chances, averaging 15.25 shots and 6.25 shots on target per match compared with Zagłębie’s 9.00 shots and 5.00 on target, while their xG stands at 1.85 versus 1.34 for their opponents. Both teams have won 3 of their last 5 matches, but the hosts’ defence is vulnerable to mistakes, conceding 2.25 goals per home game and keeping no clean sheets. Despite this weakness, Polkowice’s attacking advantage and home-field edge point to a home win, although the match should produce goals at both ends.

Polkowice are very strong at home, averaging 2.50 goals scored and just 0.50 conceded, while their defensive xG against stands at only 0.74. Zagłębie Sosnowiec average 1.17 goals away from home, but failed to score in 50% of such matches, which is a key argument against BTTS - Yes. The seasonal BTTS rate is 50% for the hosts and just 33% for the visitors, clearly below the league average of 56%. The visitors’ attacking form over their last five matches is better, recording 1.80 goals and an xG of 1.88 per game; however, Polkowice have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches. The most likely scenario is therefore one in which the hosts score, but at least one team—primarily Zagłębie—fails to find the net, making BTTS - No the preferred selection.

Polkowice score an average of 2.50 goals at home, while Zagłębie Sosnowiec concede an average of 1.17 goals away from home. The home side’s advantage is even more evident in the quality of chances: their average xG stands at 2.07, while opponents allow their rivals an xG as high as 2.21. In their last five matches, both teams have frequently recorded games with Over 2.5 goals, in 80% and 60% of cases respectively, while the league average is 2.99 goals. At the same time, Polkowice concede just 0.50 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 50% of games, which is why the main scoring potential lies with the hosts. Over 1.5 has the strongest statistical support, as the home side regularly clears this line on their own, while the profile of both teams points to around 2.90 goals in the match.

Polkowice have won all of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 2.50 goals and conceding just 0.50, while Zagłębie have lost 50% of their away fixtures. The hosts also have a clear edge in chance quality: their average xG is 2.07, while their opponents allow an xG of 2.21. At half-time, however, a draw is the most likely outcome, as Zagłębie were level after 45 minutes in 67% of their away matches and conceded just 0.17 goals per game in this period, while Polkowice were leading at the break in 50% of their home fixtures. After the interval, the hosts score an average of 1.50 goals and concede none, whereas the visitors score only 0.50 and allow their opponents an average of 1.00, which points to a turnaround and a Polkowice win.