Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa: match statistics
Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Polonia Bytom played Polonia Warszawa in 1. Liga (Poland). The match was played on 4 May 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Polonia Bytom: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Polonia Warszawa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Polonia Bytom scores 1.57 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Polonia Warszawa scores 1.53 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.95 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Polonia Bytom 57%, Polonia Warszawa 70%. Over 2.5: Polonia Bytom 50%, Polonia Warszawa 57%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Polonia Warszawa has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.62. Polonia Bytom: 13.0 shots per match, Polonia Warszawa: 14.4.
Match halves
Polonia Bytom: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.73. Polonia Warszawa: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.93.
Goals by minute
Polonia Bytom: 0-15 (12 goals). Polonia Warszawa: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Polonia Bytom creates better chances and defends more effectively at home: they average 1.80 goals per game with xG 1.85 and concede only 0.93 goals, while shots on target at home are 4.93 per match. Polonia Warszawa sits higher in the table (6th vs 11th) and has a better recent points run — 1.4 points per game vs 1.0 for Bytom, with a form of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses versus the hosts' 1-2-2. Both teams have similar season goal totals (47 for Bytom vs 46 for Warszawa) and a comparable 1.8 goals per game, with conversion rates of 12% for the hosts and 13% for the visitors; however the visitors are less likely to finish goalless (7% FTS vs 20% for Bytom). Defensively the hosts have a clear edge — 33% clean sheets at home and lower average xG against (1.59 vs 1.72 for the away side), while Warszawa concedes 1.33 goals on average away. Considering the higher quality of chances created and better home defence for Polonia Bytom, I predict a slight edge for Bytom and back their win, although the match should be tight and a draw is not excluded.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season-long indicators strongly support BTTS: Polonia Warszawa has BTTS in 87% of matches and only 7% of games without scoring, while Polonia Bytom records BTTS in 53% and fails to score in 27% of matches, so the visitors practically always find the net. Both teams generate a similar number of attempts (avg. 14.53 vs 14.27) and 4.6 shots on target each, with the visitors’ conversion higher (13% vs 9%), increasing the chance of a goal from a limited number of chances. xG analysis shows 1.74 for Bytom and 1.61 for Warszawa; xG against is 1.38 for the home side and 1.72 for the visitors, suggesting both sides create and concede chances. In the last 5 matches Bytom had BTTS in 80% and averaged 1.6 goals, while Warszawa’s recent xG is 1.64 despite averaging 1.0 goal, indicating chance creation from the visitors; these trends jointly favor both teams to score. Considering the league average BTTS of 64% and Warszawa’s low clean sheet frequency (7%), I assess BTTS at 73% (Yes) vs 27% (No) and recommend a 'yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Expected goals from xG are 1.73 for Polonia Bytom (1.74 xG for and 1.72 xG conceded by the visitors) and 1.50 for Polonia Warszawa (1.61 xG for and 1.38 xG conceded by the hosts), totaling 3.23 goals. Season stats show the visitors have 100% of matches over 1.5 and 60% over 2.5, while the hosts have 67% over 1.5 and 53% over 2.5; the simple average of these values is roughly 83% for Over 1.5 and about 56% for Over 2.5. Additionally, Polonia Warszawa have 87% of matches with Both Teams To Score and only 7% clean sheets, score on average 1.8 goals with 13% shot conversion, whereas the hosts have 53% BTTS and 9% conversion — this increases the likelihood of further goals. Compared to the league average goals of 2.95, the expected 3.23 indicates above-average scoring potential in this match, so I assess probability of Over 1.5 at 90%, Over 2.5 at 68% and Over 3.5 at 35%. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (recommended play: Over 1.5), since the visitors’ 100% away rate for Over 1.5 combined with total xG of 3.23 provide the highest confidence for this line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 2/2: Polonia Warszawa shows the strongest signal for leading and winning. The visitors led at the break in 53% of matches versus 20% for the hosts and average 0.87 goals in the first half versus 0.33 for the hosts, strongly indicating an HT=2. Over entire matches Warsaw scores 1.8 goals on average versus 1.27 for Polonia Bytom, and their xG of 1.61 versus the hosts’ conceded expected 1.38 and a higher shot conversion rate (13% vs 9%) suggest maintenance of the lead after the break. Additionally, the visitors have 28 points at the half compared to 16 for the hosts and better form (last 5: ’dllww’, 40% wins), so the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario of the visitors leading at the break and winning is the most likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Polonia Bytom | Polonia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Polonia Warszawa is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Polonia Bytom · 1.4 pts / match - Polonia Warszawa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polonia Bytom is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Polonia Bytom · 1.43 goals / match - Polonia Warszawa
Polonia Bytom scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Polonia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
Polonia Warszawa scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Polonia Bytom keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Polonia Bytom
Over / Under - Polonia Warszawa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Polonia Bytom is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / match - Polonia Bytom · 1.47 pts / match - Polonia Warszawa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Polonia Bytom - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 37%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Polonia Warszawa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Polonia Bytom
Polonia Warszawa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Polonia Bytom | Liga | Polonia Warszawa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.90 | 2.95 | • 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 57% | 64% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 20% | • 20% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 73% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Polonia Bytom 0 - 0 - 1 Polonia Warszawa. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa?
The 1. Liga match finished Polonia Bytom 3:2 Polonia Warszawa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa?
Polonia Bytom score 1.57 goals per game on average and Polonia Warszawa 1.53. The 1. Liga average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Polonia Bytom's matches and 70% of Polonia Warszawa's.
What form are Polonia Bytom and Polonia Warszawa in?
Over the last 5 games Polonia Bytom have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Polonia Warszawa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polonia Bytom vs Polonia Warszawa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.