Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Polonia Bytom played Stal Mielec in 1. Liga (Poland). The match was played on 22 November 2025. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

Polonia Bytom: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Stal Mielec: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Polonia Bytom scores 1.56 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Stal Mielec scores 1.19 and concedes 1.94. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Polonia Bytom 38%, Stal Mielec 69%. Over 2.5: Polonia Bytom 50%, Stal Mielec 63%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Polonia Bytom has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.46. Polonia Bytom: 13.5 shots per match, Stal Mielec: 12.6.

Match halves

Polonia Bytom: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.69. Stal Mielec: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.81.

Goals by minute

Polonia Bytom: 76-90+ (8 goals). Stal Mielec: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Liga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
19Shots18
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
7Shots on target5
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
2.28xG2.12
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
5Corners3
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
83Dangerous attacks90
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
9Fouls4
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
0Cards1
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Polonia BytomStal Mielec
1.56Goals scored / match1.19
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
1.13Goals conceded / match1.94
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
50%Average possession53%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
4.06Shots on target / match3.31
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.5Shots per match12.56
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
4.06Shots on target3.31
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
11.6%Shot conversion9.5%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
50%Possession53%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
1.68xG for1.46
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
1.68xG against1.71
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

Shooting quality

Polonia Bytom: BalancedStal Mielec: Balanced
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
Accuracy (shots on target)30%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Polonia Bytom is 300% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Polonia Bytom · 0.4 pts / match - Stal Mielec

Polonia Bytom
DDLWW
Season result split
50% W19% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-3-5
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-2-1
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.94Opponent xG: 1.86BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Stal Mielec
LLLDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
19% W25% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-9
0.81 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-4
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WLLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Polonia Bytom is 31% better for: goals scored per match.

1.56 goals / match - Polonia Bytom · 1.19 goals / match - Stal Mielec

Polonia Bytom is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.13 goals / match - Polonia Bytom · 1.94 goals / match - Stal Mielec

Polonia Bytom scoring profile: very strong

Polonia Bytom scores in 69% of matches (11 of 16 matches), while Stal Mielec keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).

Stal Mielec scoring profile: strong

Stal Mielec scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Polonia Bytom keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).

25Goals scored (season)19
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
18Goals conceded (season)31
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
2.69Average goals in match3.13
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
7Goals scored (last 5)4
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal75%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
44%2 goals25%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
31%3 goals6%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
13%4 goals6%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal88%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
31%2 goals69%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
6%3 goals25%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
6%4 goals13%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

66%
League average

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time13%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
6%BTTS in both halves6%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
44%Scored in both halves13%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
25%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
60%BTTS - last 580%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Polonia Bytom is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.75 pts / match - Polonia Bytom · 1 pts / match - Stal Mielec

Polonia Bytom - half-time state
44% leading44% draw13% trailing
Stal Mielec - half-time state
25% leading25% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.75Points per match (1st half)1
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.38
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)0.88
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
1.19Average goals (1st half)1.25
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
69%Clean sheet before half-time38%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
44%No goal before half-time69%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

After half-time (2nd half)

1.31Points per match (2nd half)1.13
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.81
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)1.06
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.88
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
56%Clean sheet after half-time38%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
44%No goal after half-time44%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

Polonia Bytom - second-half results

31% W38% D31% L
28
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stal Mielec - second-half results

25% W38% D38% L
16
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Polonia Bytom - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.00
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Stal Mielec - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Polonia Bytom
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
5
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
1
7
61-75
8
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Stal Mielec
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
1
5
16-30
5
6
31-45
0
4
46-60
4
4
61-75
9
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.91
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Polonia Bytom

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Stal Mielec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.50
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.41
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
47% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
47%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

Polonia BytomLigaStal Mielec
Average goals in match 2.693.10 3.13
Both teams scored 38%66% 69%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%66% 63%
Clean sheets 38%20% 13%
Goal before half-time 69%75% 81%
Goal after half-time 75%82% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
66%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.68
Home goals / match
1.42
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Polonia BytomGoalGrzegorz Szymusik
  2. Polonia BytomGoalJakub ArakAssist: Tomasz Gajda
  3. Stal MielecGoalPaweł KruszelnickiAssist: Jošt Pišek
  4. Polonia BytomGoalJakub ArakAssist: Tomasz Gajda
  5. Polonia BytomGoalTomasz GajdaAssist: Jordi Calavera Espinach
  6. Stal MielecYellow cardPiotr Wlazło
  7. Stal MielecSubstitutionOn: Mario Losada LagunaOff: Maciej Domański
  8. Polonia BytomSubstitutionOn: Kamil WojtyraOff: Jakub Arak
  9. Stal MielecSubstitutionOn: Kacper SadlochaOff: Fryderyk Gerbowski
  10. Stal MielecSubstitutionOn: Adrian BukowskiOff: Paweł Kruszelnicki
  11. Polonia BytomSubstitutionOn: Mikuláš BakaľaOff: Mikolaj Łabojko

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Piotr RzucidłoMatches officiated: 9
4.22Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 244%Home wins33%Draws22%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec?

The 1. Liga match finished Polonia Bytom 4:1 Stal Mielec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec?

Polonia Bytom score 1.56 goals per game on average and Stal Mielec 1.19. The 1. Liga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Polonia Bytom's matches and 69% of Stal Mielec's.

What form are Polonia Bytom and Stal Mielec in?

Over the last 5 games Polonia Bytom have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Stal Mielec 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec?

The statistical background for Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.