Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Polonia Bytom play Stal Mielec in 1. Liga (Poland). The match date is 22 November 2025 at 19:30. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

Polonia Bytom: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Stal Mielec: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Polonia Bytom scores 1.65 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Stal Mielec scores 1.50 and concedes 1.82. League average: 2.98 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Polonia Bytom 62%, Stal Mielec 74%. Over 2.5: Polonia Bytom 56%, Stal Mielec 71%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Polonia Bytom has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.47. Polonia Bytom: 12.5 shots per match, Stal Mielec: 12.4.

Match halves

Polonia Bytom: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.79. Stal Mielec: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

Polonia Bytom: 0-15 (14 goals). Stal Mielec: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Liga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
19Shots18
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
7Shots on target5
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
2.28xG2.12
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
5Corners3
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
83Dangerous attacks90
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
9Fouls4
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
0Cards1
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Polonia BytomStal Mielec
1.65Goals scored / match1.5
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
1.47Goals conceded / match1.82
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
51%Average possession51%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
4.12Shots on target / match3.74
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.47Shots per match12.41
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
4.12Shots on target3.74
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
13.2%Shot conversion12.1%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
51%Possession51%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
1.57xG for1.47
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
1.64xG against1.66
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

Shooting quality

Polonia Bytom: Efficient finishingStal Mielec: Balanced
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
Accuracy (shots on target)33%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Polonia Bytom is 29% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Polonia Bytom · 1.4 pts / match - Stal Mielec

Polonia Bytom
WWWLL
Season result split
38% W24% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-8-13
1.38 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-6-4
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Stal Mielec
LLDWW
Season result split
29% W18% R53% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-18
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-10
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.51Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Polonia Bytom is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

1.65 goals / match - Polonia Bytom · 1.5 goals / match - Stal Mielec

Polonia Bytom is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.47 goals / match - Polonia Bytom · 1.82 goals / match - Stal Mielec

Polonia Bytom scoring profile: very strong

Polonia Bytom scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Stal Mielec keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 34 matches).

Stal Mielec scoring profile: very strong

Stal Mielec scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Polonia Bytom keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).

56Goals scored (season)51
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
50Goals conceded (season)62
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
3.12Average goals in match3.32
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
11Goals scored (last 5)10
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
10Goals conceded (last 5)7
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal82%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
44%2 goals38%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
26%3 goals18%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
12%4 goals9%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal88%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
41%2 goals56%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
18%3 goals24%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
9%4 goals12%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

65%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time29%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
6%BTTS in both halves3%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
35%Scored in both halves21%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS62%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
80%BTTS - last 580%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time24%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Polonia Bytom is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.79 pts / match - Polonia Bytom · 1.21 pts / match - Stal Mielec

Polonia Bytom - half-time state
50% leading29% draw21% trailing
Stal Mielec - half-time state
29% leading32% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.79Points per match (1st half)1.21
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
0.85Goals scored (1st half)0.71
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.88
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
1.29Average goals (1st half)1.59
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
65%Clean sheet before half-time38%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
41%No goal before half-time50%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

After half-time (2nd half)

1.21Points per match (2nd half)1.26
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
1.03Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
1.82Average goals (2nd half)1.74
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
41%Clean sheet after half-time41%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec
41%No goal after half-time47%
Polonia BytomStal Mielec

Polonia Bytom - second-half results

29% W32% R38% P
61
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stal Mielec - second-half results

32% W29% R38% P
41
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Polonia Bytom - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match1.42.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Stal Mielec - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match2.01.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Polonia Bytom
ScoredConceded
14
5
0-15
5
3
16-30
10
7
31-45
9
10
46-60
5
17
61-75
13
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Stal Mielec
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
9
10
16-30
11
14
31-45
5
9
46-60
10
6
61-75
12
17
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.22
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+55%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Polonia Bytom

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Stal Mielec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

Polonia BytomLigaStal Mielec
Average goals in match 3.122.98 3.32
Both teams scored 62%65% 74%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%60% 71%
Clean sheets 24%20% 12%
Goal before half-time 76%74% 82%
Goal after half-time 82%81% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.98
Average goals per match
65%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.38
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Polonia Bytom 0 - 0 - 1 Stal Mielec. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec?

The 1. Liga match finished Polonia Bytom 4:1 Stal Mielec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec?

Polonia Bytom score 1.65 goals per game on average and Stal Mielec 1.50. The 1. Liga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Polonia Bytom's matches and 74% of Stal Mielec's.

What form are Polonia Bytom and Stal Mielec in?

Over the last 5 games Polonia Bytom have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Stal Mielec 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec?

The statistical background for Polonia Bytom vs Stal Mielec — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.