Polonia Środa vs Victoria Września: match statistics
Polonia Środa vs Victoria Września: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Polonia Środa played Victoria Września in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Polonia Środa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Victoria Września: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Polonia Środa scores 2.00 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Victoria Września scores 1.15 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Polonia Środa 59%, Victoria Września 46%. Over 2.5: Polonia Środa 59%, Victoria Września 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Polonia Środa has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.26. Polonia Środa: 9.0 shots per match, Victoria Września: 3.4.
Match halves
Polonia Środa: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.15. Victoria Września: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Polonia Środa: 46-60 (14 goals). Victoria Września: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Polonia Środa holds a clear seasonal advantage: 16 wins versus Victoria Września’s 9, and an average of 2.31 goals scored at home compared to 1.00 by the visitors away. The hosts register 6.73 on-target shots per game with a 16% conversion rate, while Victoria manage only 2.33 on-target shots and a 6% conversion, giving Polonia a significant edge in both quality and efficiency of attack. Defensive metrics are mixed — Polonia concedes 1.85 goals at home, Victoria 1.15 away — but xG indicates Polonia generates 1.78 xG versus the visitors’ 1.32 xG, whereas Polonia’s opponents create 1.45 xG compared to 1.67 xG for Victoria, suggesting the hosts produce more chances despite some defensive instability. Over the last five matches Victoria show better form (3 wins and 2.0 points per game) than Polonia (2 wins and 1.4 points per game), but Victoria’s high share of away matches without scoring (38%) limits their realistic prospects. Considering Polonia’s efficiency (16% conversion vs 6%), superiority in on-target shots (6.73 vs 2.33) and better season win tally (16 vs 9), I back the home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have consistently scored and conceded in the last 5 matches: Polonia scored 9 goals (avg 1.8) and conceded 6 (1.2), while Victoria scored 8 (1.6) and conceded 5 (1.0), with BTTS 60% for both across the last five fixtures. Season-to-date Polonia records BTTS in 54% of matches, Victoria in 38%, giving a pair average around 46%, but the league has BTTS 52% and an average of 2.94 goals per game, which supports a Goal/Goal scenario. Defensively Polonia concedes 1.54 goals per match with xG against 2.47, indicating opponents create many high-quality chances, while Victoria generates xG 1.32 and averages 9.67 shots per match, so they have a realistic chance to score despite a season finishing rate of 6%. Clean sheets are not frequent: Polonia keeps a clean sheet in 31% of matches, Victoria in 23%, which increases the likelihood that either side will score. Considering strong signals from the last 5 matches (60% vs 60%), moderate season BTTS figures (54% vs 38%) and the league goals mean of 2.94, I recommend BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of ~60% versus 40% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect 1.27 goals for Polonia Środa and 1.90 goals for Victoria Września, totaling 3.17 expected goals. The calculation is based on xG: Polonia has an attacking xG of 0.87, while Victoria as the away team concedes on average 1.67 xG per match (=>1.27 for the home side); conversely Victoria has an attacking xG of 1.32, and Polonia allows 2.47 xG per match (=>1.90 for the away side). Historically Polonia records Over 1.5 in 85% of matches, Victoria in 54%, and the league averages 2.94 goals/match; seasonal Over 2.5 rates are 54% (Polonia) and 46% (Victoria), which supports a moderately high probability of Over 2.5 (~61%). Additionally Polonia has a higher shot conversion 13% versus Victoria’s 6% and low clean sheet rates of 31% and 23%, which increases the chance of goals from both sides. Based on this, the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (est. ~82%); Over 2.5 is possible (~61%) but less certain — I recommend playing Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Polonia Środa led at half-time in 46% of matches and scores an average of 0.85 goals by the break versus 0.18 for Victoria Września, so the home side more frequently holds the lead after 45 minutes. However, in the second half Polonia concedes an average of 1.08 goals while Victoria concedes only 0.55, indicating weaker home defense after the interval. Additionally, Polonia’s xG is 0.87 versus Victoria’s 1.32 xG, and shot conversion rates suggest Polonia may owe their leads to better finishing (13% vs 6% for the visitors), meaning those leads may be less sustainable. In the last five matches Victoria has better form (60% wins vs 40% for Polonia) and collects more points in second halves (2.5 vs 1.75), increasing the likelihood of a turnaround after the break. Therefore I assign the highest probability to the 1/2 scenario (Polonia leading at Half-Time, Victoria winning at Full-Time), while still acknowledging significant chances for 1/1 and 1/X given the frequency of the home side leading at the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Polonia Środa | Victoria Września | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 13% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 2.74 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Victoria Września is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Polonia Środa · 2 pts / match - Victoria Września
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Polonia Środa is 74% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Polonia Środa · 1.15 goals / match - Victoria Września
Polonia Środa scores in 89% of matches (24 of 27 matches), while Victoria Września keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
Victoria Września scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Polonia Środa keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Polonia Środa
Over / Under - Victoria Września
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Polonia Środa is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - Polonia Środa · 1.23 pts / match - Victoria Września
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Polonia Środa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Victoria Września - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Polonia Środa
Victoria Września
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Polonia Środa | Liga | Victoria Września | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.30 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 52% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 69% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Polonia Środa 1 - 0 - 0 Victoria Września. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Polonia Środa vs Victoria Września?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Polonia Środa 0:0 Victoria Września. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Polonia Środa vs Victoria Września?
Polonia Środa score 2.00 goals per game on average and Victoria Września 1.15. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Polonia Środa's matches and 46% of Victoria Września's.
What form are Polonia Środa and Victoria Września in?
Over the last 5 games Polonia Środa have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Victoria Września 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polonia Środa vs Victoria Września?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Polonia Środa vs Victoria Września: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.