Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Polonia Warszawa play Pogoń Siedlce in 1. Liga (Poland). The match date is 29 November 2025 at 19:30. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Polonia Warszawa: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Pogoń Siedlce: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Polonia Warszawa scores 1.54 and concedes 1.49 goals per match. Pogoń Siedlce scores 0.97 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.98 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Polonia Warszawa 71%, Pogoń Siedlce 47%. Over 2.5: Polonia Warszawa 60%, Pogoń Siedlce 38%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Polonia Warszawa has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.25. Polonia Warszawa: 14.8 shots per match, Pogoń Siedlce: 10.3.

Match halves

Polonia Warszawa: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.94. Pogoń Siedlce: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.56.

Goals by minute

Polonia Warszawa: 76-90+ (14 goals). Pogoń Siedlce: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Liga: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

60Possession (%)40
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
10Shots7
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
3Shots on target3
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
1.4xG1.1
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
6Corners1
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
77Dangerous attacks60
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
17Fouls19
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
0Cards0
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
1.54Goals scored / match0.97
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
1.49Goals conceded / match1.26
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
52%Average possession44%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
4.71Shots on target / match3.06
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.77Shots per match10.29
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
4.71Shots on target3.06
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
10.4%Shot conversion9.4%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
52%Possession44%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
1.71xG for1.25
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
1.58xG against1.71
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

Shooting quality

Polonia Warszawa: AttackingPogoń Siedlce: Balanced
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
Accuracy (shots on target)32%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Polonia Warszawa is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Polonia Warszawa · 0.6 pts / match - Pogoń Siedlce

Polonia Warszawa
LWLWL
Season result split
43% W23% R34% P
Season (W-D-L)
15-8-12
1.51 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-7
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.92Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Pogoń Siedlce
WLLLL
Season result split
26% W26% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-9-16
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-8
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.91BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Polonia Warszawa is 59% better for: goals scored per match.

1.54 goals / match - Polonia Warszawa · 0.97 goals / match - Pogoń Siedlce

Pogoń Siedlce is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.49 goals / match - Polonia Warszawa · 1.26 goals / match - Pogoń Siedlce

Polonia Warszawa scoring profile: very strong

Polonia Warszawa scores in 83% of matches (29 of 35 matches), while Pogoń Siedlce keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).

Pogoń Siedlce scoring profile: very strong

Pogoń Siedlce scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Polonia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 35 matches).

54Goals scored (season)33
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
52Goals conceded (season)43
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
3.03Average goals in match2.24
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
8Goals scored (last 5)4
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
9Goals conceded (last 5)11
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal65%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
51%2 goals26%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
11%3 goals6%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
6%4 goals0%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal74%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
37%2 goals38%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
17%3 goals12%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
6%4 goals3%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

71%
Polonia Warszawa - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.25 of 35 matches
65%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time18%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
6%BTTS in both halves0%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
26%Scored in both halves9%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
80%BTTS - last 540%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time9%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Polonia Warszawa is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.34 pts / match - Polonia Warszawa · 1.09 pts / match - Pogoń Siedlce

Polonia Warszawa - half-time state
34% leading31% draw34% trailing
Pogoń Siedlce - half-time state
21% leading47% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.34Points per match (1st half)1.09
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.41
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
1.23Average goals (1st half)0.94
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
54%Clean sheet before half-time56%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
54%No goal before half-time68%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

After half-time (2nd half)

1.6Points per match (2nd half)1.12
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
0.94Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)0.74
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
1.8Average goals (2nd half)1.29
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
43%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
37%No goal after half-time59%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

Polonia Warszawa - second-half results

43% W31% R26% P
47
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
56
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.34
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Pogoń Siedlce - second-half results

26% W32% R41% P
37
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding124%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Polonia Warszawa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match1.81.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-3+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Pogoń Siedlce - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.60
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Polonia Warszawa
ScoredConceded
7
1
0-15
5
11
16-30
9
10
31-45
9
6
46-60
10
10
61-75
14
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Pogoń Siedlce
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
1
7
16-30
12
7
31-45
7
12
46-60
10
6
61-75
2
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.63
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-24%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Polonia Warszawa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
96%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Pogoń Siedlce

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

Polonia WarszawaLigaPogoń Siedlce
Average goals in match 3.032.98 2.24
Both teams scored 71%65% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%60% 38%
Clean sheets 17%20% 26%
Goal before half-time 74%74% 59%
Goal after half-time 83%81% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.98
Average goals per match
65%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.38
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Polonia Warszawa 0 - 1 - 0 Pogoń Siedlce. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

MKP Pogoń Siedlce
1 : 1
KSP Polonia Warszawa

FAQ

What was the result of Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce?

The 1. Liga match finished Polonia Warszawa 2:0 Pogoń Siedlce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce?

Polonia Warszawa score 1.54 goals per game on average and Pogoń Siedlce 0.97. The 1. Liga average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Polonia Warszawa's matches and 47% of Pogoń Siedlce's.

What form are Polonia Warszawa and Pogoń Siedlce in?

Over the last 5 games Polonia Warszawa have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Pogoń Siedlce 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce?

The statistical background for Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.