Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Polonia Warszawa played Pogoń Siedlce in 1. Liga (Poland). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Polonia Warszawa: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Pogoń Siedlce: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Polonia Warszawa scores 1.53 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Pogoń Siedlce scores 1.24 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.10 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Polonia Warszawa 82%, Pogoń Siedlce 59%. Over 2.5: Polonia Warszawa 65%, Pogoń Siedlce 41%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Polonia Warszawa has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.34. Polonia Warszawa: 13.9 shots per match, Pogoń Siedlce: 10.8.

Match halves

Polonia Warszawa: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.82. Pogoń Siedlce: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Polonia Warszawa: 16-30 (5 goals). Pogoń Siedlce: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

1. Liga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

60Possession (%)40
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
10Shots7
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
3Shots on target3
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
1.4xG1.1
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
6Corners1
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
77Dangerous attacks60
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
17Fouls19
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
0Cards0
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
1.53Goals scored / match1.24
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
1.53Goals conceded / match1
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
50%Average possession42%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
4.47Shots on target / match3.53
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.94Shots per match10.82
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
4.47Shots on target3.53
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
11%Shot conversion11.4%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
50%Possession42%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
1.66xG for1.34
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
1.6xG against1.79
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

Shooting quality

Polonia Warszawa: BalancedPogoń Siedlce: Balanced
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
Accuracy (shots on target)32%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Polonia Warszawa is 71% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Polonia Warszawa · 1.4 pts / match - Pogoń Siedlce

Polonia Warszawa
LWWWW
Season result split
41% W29% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-5
1.53 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-4
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Pogoń Siedlce
DWDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W41% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-5
1.29 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-2
Last 5 away
1-3-1
LWDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.84BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Polonia Warszawa is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

1.53 goals / match - Polonia Warszawa · 1.24 goals / match - Pogoń Siedlce

Pogoń Siedlce is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.53 goals / match - Polonia Warszawa · 1 goals / match - Pogoń Siedlce

Polonia Warszawa scoring profile: very strong

Polonia Warszawa scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Pogoń Siedlce keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).

Pogoń Siedlce scoring profile: very strong

Pogoń Siedlce scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Polonia Warszawa keeps a clean sheet in 12% (2 of 17 matches).

26Goals scored (season)21
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
26Goals conceded (season)17
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
3.06Average goals in match2.24
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
7Goals scored (last 5)6
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal76%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
47%2 goals35%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
12%3 goals12%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
6%4 goals0%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal65%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
35%2 goals29%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
12%3 goals6%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
6%4 goals0%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

82%
Polonia Warszawa - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 17 matches
66%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time29%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
18%Scored in both halves12%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

BTTS and goal count

65%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
60%BTTS - last 560%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
53%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time24%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Pogoń Siedlce is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.41 pts / match - Polonia Warszawa · 1.59 pts / match - Pogoń Siedlce

Polonia Warszawa - half-time state
35% leading35% draw29% trailing
Pogoń Siedlce - half-time state
35% leading53% draw12% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.41Points per match (1st half)1.59
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.71
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.41
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
1.41Average goals (1st half)1.12
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
47%Clean sheet before half-time71%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
53%No goal before half-time47%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

After half-time (2nd half)

1.65Points per match (2nd half)1.12
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
1.65Average goals (2nd half)1.12
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
47%Clean sheet after half-time53%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce
41%No goal after half-time65%
Polonia WarszawaPogoń Siedlce

Polonia Warszawa - second-half results

47% W24% D29% L
24
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Pogoń Siedlce - second-half results

24% W41% D35% L
27
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Polonia Warszawa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Pogoń Siedlce - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Polonia Warszawa
ScoredConceded
4
0
0-15
5
6
16-30
3
6
31-45
4
3
46-60
5
3
61-75
5
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Pogoń Siedlce
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
5
16-30
10
1
31-45
3
4
46-60
5
3
61-75
1
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
85%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Polonia Warszawa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.87
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Pogoń Siedlce

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.69
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.79
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
5% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
5%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).

Teams vs league

Polonia WarszawaLigaPogoń Siedlce
Average goals in match 3.063.10 2.24
Both teams scored 82%66% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 65%66% 41%
Clean sheets 12%19% 35%
Goal before half-time 76%75% 53%
Goal after half-time 82%81% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.10
Average goals per match
66%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.70
Home goals / match
1.41
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Pogoń SiedlceSubstitutionOn: Jakub ZbrógOff: Cezary Demianiuk
  2. Polonia WarszawaGoalŁukasz Zjawiński
  3. Polonia WarszawaGoalDave GnaaseAssist: Robert Dadok
  4. Pogoń SiedlceSubstitutionOn: Dawid PakulskiOff: Ernest Dzięcioł
  5. Polonia WarszawaSubstitutionOn: Benedykt PiotrowskiOff: Nikita Vasin
  6. Pogoń SiedlceSubstitutionOn: Szymon StypulkowskiOff: Bartosz Dembek

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Polonia Warszawa 0 - 1 - 0 Pogoń Siedlce. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

MKP Pogoń Siedlce
1 : 1
KSP Polonia Warszawa

FAQ

What was the result of Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce?

The 1. Liga match finished Polonia Warszawa 2:0 Pogoń Siedlce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce?

Polonia Warszawa score 1.53 goals per game on average and Pogoń Siedlce 1.24. The 1. Liga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 82% of Polonia Warszawa's matches and 59% of Pogoń Siedlce's.

What form are Polonia Warszawa and Pogoń Siedlce in?

Over the last 5 games Polonia Warszawa have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Pogoń Siedlce 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce?

The statistical background for Polonia Warszawa vs Pogoń Siedlce — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.