Brazil - Serie BEstádio Moisés LucarelliData current as of 15 October 2026

Ponte Preta vs Atlético GO: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Ponte Preta vs Atlético GO: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ponte Preta play Atlético GO in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 16 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli.

Current form

Ponte Preta: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Atlético GO: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ponte Preta scores 0.55 and concedes 2.21 goals per match. Atlético GO scores 1.24 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.35 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ponte Preta 39%, Atlético GO 48%. Over 2.5: Ponte Preta 42%, Atlético GO 39%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Atlético GO has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.12. Ponte Preta: 10.2 shots per match, Atlético GO: 15.1.

Match halves

Ponte Preta: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.15. Atlético GO: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.58.

Goals by minute

Ponte Preta: 31-45+ (9 goals). Atlético GO: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(9.70)
(5.00)
(1.30)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Ponte PretaAtlético GO
0.55Goals scored / match1.24
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
2.21Goals conceded / match0.94
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
41%Average possession49%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
3.15Shots on target / match4.52
Ponte PretaAtlético GO

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.21Shots per match15.12
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
3.15Shots on target4.52
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
5.3%Shot conversion8.2%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
41%Possession49%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
1.12xG for1.6
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
1.93xG against1.44
Ponte PretaAtlético GO

Shooting quality

Ponte Preta: BalancedAtlético GO: Attacking
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
Accuracy (shots on target)31%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.170.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Atlético GO is 133% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Ponte Preta · 1.4 pts / match - Atlético GO

Ponte Preta
WLLLL
Season result split
9% W12% D79% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-26
0.39 pts / match · goal difference -55
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-4-10
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
DLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 0.88Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Atlético GO
LWWLD
Season result split
42% W33% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-11-8
1.61 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-6-5
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.03Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Atlético GO is 125% better for: goals scored per match.

0.55 goals / match - Ponte Preta · 1.24 goals / match - Atlético GO

Atlético GO is 135% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.21 goals / match - Ponte Preta · 0.94 goals / match - Atlético GO

Ponte Preta scoring profile: mixed

Ponte Preta scores in 45% of matches (15 of 33 matches), while Atlético GO keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 matches).

Atlético GO scoring profile: very strong

Atlético GO scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Ponte Preta keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 33 matches).

18Goals scored (season)41
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
73Goals conceded (season)31
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
2.76Average goals in match2.18
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
2Goals scored (last 5)5
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
11Goals conceded (last 5)5
Ponte PretaAtlético GO

How often they score at least...

45%1 goal76%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
9%2 goals33%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
0%3 goals12%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
0%4 goals3%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal64%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
73%2 goals21%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
27%3 goals9%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
15%4 goals0%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time15%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
3%BTTS in both halves0%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
6%Scored in both halves24%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO

BTTS and goal count

30%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
20%BTTS - last 540%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time30%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Atlético GO is 125% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.73 pts / match - Ponte Preta · 1.64 pts / match - Atlético GO

Ponte Preta - half-time state
15% leading27% draw58% trailing
Atlético GO - half-time state
42% leading36% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.73Points per match (1st half)1.64
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.67
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
1.09Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
1.48Average goals (1st half)1.09
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
30%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
64%No goal before half-time48%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO

After half-time (2nd half)

0.42Points per match (2nd half)1.42
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
0.15Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
1.12Goals conceded (2nd half)0.52
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
1.27Average goals (2nd half)1.09
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
30%Clean sheet after half-time64%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO
85%No goal after half-time52%
Ponte PretaAtlético GO

Ponte Preta - second-half results

3% W33% D64% L
24
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-23
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-32
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding60%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Atlético GO - second-half results

33% W42% D24% L
54
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ponte Preta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.40
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match1.40.8
Average goals in match1.80.8
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-5-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Atlético GO - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.80
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ponte Preta
ScoredConceded
1
8
0-15
3
10
16-30
9
18
31-45
3
11
46-60
1
7
61-75
1
19
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -18 - late phases are a weakness.

Atlético GO
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
8
2
16-30
9
8
31-45
4
3
46-60
7
7
61-75
8
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.47
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.7 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
34%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ponte Preta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.81
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.85
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.57
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
41%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
219%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
6% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
6%

Atlético GO

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
70%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

Ponte PretaLigaAtlético GO
Average goals in match▲ 2.762.35▼ 2.18
Both teams scored▼ 39%47%• 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 42%43%▼ 39%
Clean sheets▼ 9%30%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time▲ 82%68%▲ 70%
Goal after half-time• 73%74%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.35
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.01
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Ponte Preta 0 - 0 - 1 Atlético GO. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Ponte Preta and Atlético GO play?

Ponte Preta face Atlético GO on 16 October 2026 in Serie B at Estádio Moisés Lucarelli. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ponte Preta vs Atlético GO?

Ponte Preta score 0.55 goals per game on average and Atlético GO 1.24. The Serie B average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Ponte Preta's matches and 48% of Atlético GO's.

What form are Ponte Preta and Atlético GO in?

Over the last 5 games Ponte Preta have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Atlético GO 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ponte Preta vs Atlético GO?

The statistical background for Ponte Preta vs Atlético GO — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.