Ponte Preta vs Criciúma: match statistics
Ponte Preta vs Criciúma: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ponte Preta played Criciúma in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 8 July 2026. Venue: Estádio Moisés Lucarelli. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Ponte Preta: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Criciúma: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ponte Preta scores 0.63 and concedes 1.94 goals per match. Criciúma scores 1.13 and concedes 0.69. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ponte Preta 44%, Criciúma 50%. Over 2.5: Ponte Preta 50%, Criciúma 19%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Criciúma has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.19. Ponte Preta: 10.5 shots per match, Criciúma: 13.8.
Match halves
Ponte Preta: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.19. Criciúma: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Ponte Preta: 31-45+ (5 goals). Criciúma: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Criciúma is the clear favorite: they sit 3rd in the table with a record of 8 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses and 18 goals scored, while Ponte Preta are 19th with just 2 wins and 10 goals. The form gap is dramatic — Ponte Preta have lost 5 of their last 5 matches, scoring only 1 and conceding 11 (2.2 per match), whereas Criciúma have 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 1 (0.2 per match). Defensively the visitors also have the edge: the home side concedes 1.63 goals per home game and fail to score in 38% of matches, while Criciúma concede 0.88 on the road and keep a clean sheet in 38% of fixtures. Offensive efficiency favors the visitors — Ponte Preta’s home shot conversion is around 5% with 3.38 shots on target, while Criciúma convert ~9% with 2.88 shots on target. Considering league position, PPG in the last 5 (2.6 for Criciúma vs 0 for Ponte Preta) and superior defense and efficiency, I estimate Criciúma’s win probability at ~72%, draw 20% and home win 8%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches Ponte Preta averaged 0.2 goals scored and conceded 2.2, while Criciúma averaged 1.0 goals scored and conceded 0.2, clearly showing an advantage in goals for the visitors. Seasonally both teams have BTTS at 50% (Ponte Preta 50%, Criciúma 50%), with the league average for BTTS at 47%, so seasonal signals are neutral. Seasonal xG is 1.74 for Ponte Preta and 1.20 for Criciúma, but in the last 5 matches xG fell to 0.95 for the hosts and rose to 1.56 for the visitors, suggesting a decline in quality of chances for Ponte Preta. Additionally Ponte Preta scored a total of 1 goal in the last 5 matches, while Criciúma conceded a total of 1 goal in those five, and seasonally the hosts have conceded 31 goals versus 11 conceded by the visitors, which increases the likelihood that only one side will score. On this basis I assess BTTS probability at 30% and No BTTS at 70% and recommend selecting 'No' as the strongest signal due to Ponte Preta's very poor finishing in the last 5 matches.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Ponte Preta attack = 1.74 and Criciúma defense (xG against) = 1.32 yield estimated home goals ≈1.53, and Criciúma attack = 1.20 and Ponte Preta defense = 1.32 yield away goals ≈1.26, totaling ≈2.79 goals. With this mean from a Poisson distribution the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is about 77%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) ≈53%, and at least 4 goals (Over 3.5) ≈31%. Additionally Ponte Preta averages 16.25 shots and 4.63 on target per match versus 11.25/2.88 for Criciúma, and the share of matches with at least 1 goal is 100% for the home side and 88% for the away side, which supports the Over bias. Risk: Ponte Preta conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches and has form 'lllll', while Criciúma is in form 'wdwww', but these facts likely increase scoring probability rather than suppress it. As a result the strongest data-driven signal is Over on the 1.5 line (Over) with an estimated probability of about 77%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I forecast the most likely scenario is Ponte Preta leading at half-time and the home side winning the match (1/1). Ponte Preta led at the break in 63% of matches and score on average 0.75 goals in the first half while conceding only 0.13, strongly favoring a 1-0 half-time score. Over the full match the home side have higher xG: 1.74 versus the visitors’ 1.20 and more shots on target (4.63 vs 2.88), so I assigned a 44% probability to the 1/1 HT/FT scenario. However, Ponte Preta’s poor form in the last five matches (0% wins, form 'lllll') increases the likelihood of a draw or a Criciúma turnaround, so 1/X and X/X were given 11% and 10% respectively.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ponte Preta | Criciúma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Criciúma is 79% better for: goals scored per match.
0.63 goals / match - Ponte Preta · 1.13 goals / match - Criciúma
Criciúma is 181% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.94 goals / match - Ponte Preta · 0.69 goals / match - Criciúma
Ponte Preta scores in 50% of matches (8 of 16 matches), while Criciúma keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 matches).
Criciúma scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Ponte Preta keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ponte Preta
Over / Under - Criciúma
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Criciúma is 141% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.75 pts / match - Ponte Preta · 1.81 pts / match - Criciúma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ponte Preta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Criciúma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ponte Preta
Criciúma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Ponte Preta | Liga | Criciúma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.56 | 2.28 | ▼ 1.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▼ 19% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 32% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 64% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 75% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Ponte Preta vs Criciúma?
The Serie B match finished Ponte Preta 1:2 Criciúma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ponte Preta vs Criciúma?
Ponte Preta score 0.63 goals per game on average and Criciúma 1.13. The Serie B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Ponte Preta's matches and 50% of Criciúma's.
What form are Ponte Preta and Criciúma in?
Over the last 5 games Ponte Preta have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Criciúma 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ponte Preta vs Criciúma?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ponte Preta vs Criciúma: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.