Pontedera vs Ascoli: match statistics
Ascoli demonstrates significantly higher form and quality this season, as confirmed by all key indicators. The visitors have won 14 matches with only 4 defeats, scoring 43 goals and conceding just 18, resulting in a +25 goal difference. In away matches, Ascoli wins 50% of the time, scoring an average of 1.5 goals and conceding just 0.83 goals per match, with an impressive 64% possession. Pontedera, on the other hand, is having a disastrous season with a record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, conceding as many as 45 goals while scoring only 21. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 matches, and at home they lose 42% of the time, conceding an average of 1.75 goals and scoring just 1 goal per match. Ascoli's form in the last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 2.6 points per match) contrasts dramatically with Pontedera's form (0 wins, 0.6 points per match), making the visitors' victory highly probable.
Pontedera vs Ascoli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pontedera played Ascoli in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Pontedera: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Ascoli: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pontedera scores 0.84 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Ascoli scores 1.65 and concedes 0.69. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pontedera 52%, Ascoli 38%. Over 2.5: Pontedera 44%, Ascoli 42%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Ascoli has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.23. Pontedera: 10.0 shots per match, Ascoli: 13.4.
Match halves
Pontedera: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.48. Ascoli: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Pontedera: 61-75 (6 goals). Ascoli: 31-45+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ascoli demonstrates significantly higher form and quality this season, as confirmed by all key indicators. The visitors have won 14 matches with only 4 defeats, scoring 43 goals and conceding just 18, resulting in a +25 goal difference. In away matches, Ascoli wins 50% of the time, scoring an average of 1.5 goals and conceding just 0.83 goals per match, with an impressive 64% possession. Pontedera, on the other hand, is having a disastrous season with a record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, conceding as many as 45 goals while scoring only 21. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 matches, and at home they lose 42% of the time, conceding an average of 1.75 goals and scoring just 1 goal per match. Ascoli's form in the last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw, 2.6 points per match) contrasts dramatically with Pontedera's form (0 wins, 0.6 points per match), making the visitors' victory highly probable.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pontedera | Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ascoli is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Pontedera · 2.6 pts / match - Ascoli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ascoli is 96% better for: goals scored per match.
0.84 goals / match - Pontedera · 1.65 goals / match - Ascoli
Ascoli is 161% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.8 goals / match - Pontedera · 0.69 goals / match - Ascoli
Pontedera scores in 60% of matches (15 of 25 matches), while Ascoli keeps a clean sheet in 50% (13 of 26 matches).
Ascoli scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Pontedera keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pontedera
Over / Under - Ascoli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ascoli is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Pontedera · 1.65 pts / match - Ascoli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pontedera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 12%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ascoli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pontedera
Ascoli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Pontedera | Liga | Ascoli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.64 | 2.25 | ▲ 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 38% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 31% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 63% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pontedera 0 - 0 - 1 Ascoli. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pontedera vs Ascoli?
The Serie C Group B match finished Pontedera 1:3 Ascoli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pontedera vs Ascoli?
Pontedera score 0.84 goals per game on average and Ascoli 1.65. The Serie C Group B average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Pontedera's matches and 38% of Ascoli's.
What form are Pontedera and Ascoli in?
Over the last 5 games Pontedera have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Ascoli 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pontedera vs Ascoli?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.