Pontedera vs Bra: match statistics
Pontedera vs Bra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pontedera played Bra in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Pontedera: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Bra: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pontedera scores 0.84 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. Bra scores 1.03 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pontedera 55%, Bra 71%. Over 2.5: Pontedera 45%, Bra 52%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Pontedera has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.02. Pontedera: 11.1 shots per match, Bra: 8.4.
Match halves
Pontedera: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.55. Bra: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Pontedera: 61-75 (7 goals). Bra: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.28 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistics indicate a slight home edge: Pontedera have higher shots per match and better offensive efficiency at home and marginally better points form in the last five. Both teams have low finishing and similar goals per match (~0.87), which favors a draw. Bra have a very poor away record (no away wins, high loss rate), higher xG against and more goals conceded in the last five, weakening their chances. High draw percentages in both teams’ stats and few clean sheets point to an even match with limited goals. On this basis I predict a narrow home win with significant probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show strong BTTS signals: Pontedera season BTTS 63%, Bra 80%, league avg 50%. Defenses are prone to conceding (ga_season 1.38 Pontedera, 1.8 Bra; xG against 1.47 and 1.92), increasing chance of goals both ways. Bra have no clean sheets this season (CS 0%) and Pontedera only 25%, reinforcing BTTS. Last5 both teams score and concede (gf_last5 both 4, ga_l5 7 and 11) with high last5 BTTS (60% and 80%). Recommend BTTS = Yes as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG and goal averages indicate scoring potential — expected xG ~1.52 for Pontedera and ~1.20 for Bra, total ~2.72. Both teams have high BTTS rates (Pontedera 63%, Bra 80%) and strong season Over 1.5 percentages (81% and 87%), suggesting goals from both sides. Pontedera generates more shots and moderate conversion; Bra has weaker defensive metrics and high xG against (1.92), increasing conceding risk. Considering seasonal and recent trends (last5 higher over2.5 for Bra), the most certain and strongest option is Over 1.5. Risk of under at this line is low.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Pontedera shows a significant statistical advantage: higher PPG and xG, a higher HT lead rate (44% vs Bra 7%). Bra have not won away, exhibit low PPG and higher average goals conceded, indicating defensive issues throughout the match. Pontedera is also stronger in the second half (ppg_2hg 1.25 vs 0.4), which raises the probability of holding the lead. Low HT BTTS for the hosts suggest the lead may appear by half-time with relatively low HT draw risk. Based on these signals the most probable and strongest HT/FT result is 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pontedera | Bra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pontedera is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Pontedera · 0.2 pts / match - Bra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bra is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
0.84 goals / match - Pontedera · 1.03 goals / match - Bra
Bra is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.77 goals / match - Pontedera · 1.58 goals / match - Bra
Pontedera scores in 61% of matches (19 of 31 matches), while Bra keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 31 matches).
Bra scores in 81% of matches (25 of 31 matches), while Pontedera keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pontedera
Over / Under - Bra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bra is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Pontedera · 1.23 pts / match - Bra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pontedera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pontedera
Bra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Pontedera | Liga | Bra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.61 | 2.28 | ▲ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 50% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 39% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 29% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 63% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 72% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pontedera 0 - 0 - 1 Bra. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pontedera vs Bra?
The Serie C Group B match finished Pontedera 0:0 Bra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pontedera vs Bra?
Pontedera score 0.84 goals per game on average and Bra 1.03. The Serie C Group B average is 2.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Pontedera's matches and 71% of Bra's.
What form are Pontedera and Bra in?
Over the last 5 games Pontedera have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Bra 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pontedera vs Bra?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pontedera vs Bra: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.