Pontedera vs Nuova Monterosi: match statistics
Nuova Monterosi appears to be the favorite in this fixture despite the poor recent form of both teams. Pontedera displays disastrous home statistics with only a 14% win rate at home and a -12 goal difference, conceding an average of 1.79 goals per game. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 matches and hold the worst loss rate in the league (50% home defeats). The visitors, on the other hand, despite a poor run, possess significantly better away metrics: a 36% win rate, an impressive 43% of clean sheets, and a positive goal difference (+1). Nuova Monterosi also boasts a superior shot conversion rate (13% vs 8%) and fails to score less frequently (21% vs 36%). Considering the clear quality advantage of the visitors and the hosts' dismal disposition, I expect a victory for Nuova Monterosi, although the poor form of both squads increases the probability of a draw.
Pontedera vs Nuova Monterosi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pontedera played Nuova Monterosi in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Pontedera: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Nuova Monterosi: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pontedera scores 0.83 and concedes 1.79 goals per match. Nuova Monterosi scores 0.83 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pontedera 55%, Nuova Monterosi 41%. Over 2.5: Pontedera 45%, Nuova Monterosi 31%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Pontedera has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.19. Pontedera: 10.6 shots per match, Nuova Monterosi: 8.9.
Match halves
Pontedera: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.52. Nuova Monterosi: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Pontedera: 61-75 (7 goals). Nuova Monterosi: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nuova Monterosi appears to be the favorite in this fixture despite the poor recent form of both teams. Pontedera displays disastrous home statistics with only a 14% win rate at home and a -12 goal difference, conceding an average of 1.79 goals per game. The hosts have not won any of their last 5 matches and hold the worst loss rate in the league (50% home defeats). The visitors, on the other hand, despite a poor run, possess significantly better away metrics: a 36% win rate, an impressive 43% of clean sheets, and a positive goal difference (+1). Nuova Monterosi also boasts a superior shot conversion rate (13% vs 8%) and fails to score less frequently (21% vs 36%). Considering the clear quality advantage of the visitors and the hosts' dismal disposition, I expect a victory for Nuova Monterosi, although the poor form of both squads increases the probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pontedera | Nuova Monterosi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nuova Monterosi is 85% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.79 goals / match - Pontedera · 0.97 goals / match - Nuova Monterosi
Pontedera scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Nuova Monterosi keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 matches).
Nuova Monterosi scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Pontedera keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pontedera
Over / Under - Nuova Monterosi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nuova Monterosi is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Pontedera · 1.17 pts / match - Nuova Monterosi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pontedera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 10%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nuova Monterosi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pontedera
Nuova Monterosi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Pontedera | Liga | Nuova Monterosi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.62 | 2.26 | ▼ 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 49% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 39% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 30% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 63% | ▼ 41% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 72% | ▼ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pontedera 0 - 0 - 1 Nuova Monterosi. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pontedera vs Nuova Monterosi?
The Serie C Group B match finished Pontedera 0:1 Nuova Monterosi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pontedera vs Nuova Monterosi?
Pontedera score 0.83 goals per game on average and Nuova Monterosi 0.83. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Pontedera's matches and 41% of Nuova Monterosi's.
What form are Pontedera and Nuova Monterosi in?
Over the last 5 games Pontedera have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Nuova Monterosi 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pontedera vs Nuova Monterosi?
The statistical background for Pontedera vs Nuova Monterosi — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.