Pontedera vs Ternana: match statistics
Ternana appears to be the favorite in this clash, despite playing away. Pontedera is in very poor form with just a 20% home win rate and a -9 goal difference in home matches, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. The hosts have failed to win any of their last 5 matches, confirming their form crisis. Ternana has a significantly better overall record (9 wins this season) and a solid away defense, conceding only 0.82 goals on average with a 36% clean sheet rate. Although the visitors tend to draw away frequently (45%), their quality advantage and better recent form (1.2 points per game) should tip the scales in their favor. xG statistics also favor Ternana, who demonstrate better efficiency both in attack and defense.
Pontedera vs Ternana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pontedera played Ternana in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Pontedera: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Ternana: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pontedera scores 0.82 and concedes 1.82 goals per match. Ternana scores 1.05 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.24 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pontedera 50%, Ternana 45%. Over 2.5: Pontedera 45%, Ternana 27%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Ternana has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.17. Pontedera: 9.4 shots per match, Ternana: 11.4.
Match halves
Pontedera: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.41. Ternana: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Pontedera: 61-75 (6 goals). Ternana: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ternana appears to be the favorite in this clash, despite playing away. Pontedera is in very poor form with just a 20% home win rate and a -9 goal difference in home matches, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. The hosts have failed to win any of their last 5 matches, confirming their form crisis. Ternana has a significantly better overall record (9 wins this season) and a solid away defense, conceding only 0.82 goals on average with a 36% clean sheet rate. Although the visitors tend to draw away frequently (45%), their quality advantage and better recent form (1.2 points per game) should tip the scales in their favor. xG statistics also favor Ternana, who demonstrate better efficiency both in attack and defense.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pontedera | Ternana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ternana is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Pontedera · 1.4 pts / match - Ternana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ternana is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Pontedera · 1.05 goals / match - Ternana
Ternana is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.82 goals / match - Pontedera · 0.91 goals / match - Ternana
Pontedera scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Ternana keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Ternana scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Pontedera keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pontedera
Over / Under - Ternana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pontedera - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ternana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pontedera
Ternana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Pontedera | Liga | Ternana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.64 | 2.24 | ▼ 1.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 36% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 31% | • 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 62% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 71% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pontedera 0 - 0 - 1 Ternana. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pontedera vs Ternana?
The Serie C Group B match finished Pontedera 2:2 Ternana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pontedera vs Ternana?
Pontedera score 0.82 goals per game on average and Ternana 1.05. The Serie C Group B average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Pontedera's matches and 45% of Ternana's.
What form are Pontedera and Ternana in?
Over the last 5 games Pontedera have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Ternana 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pontedera vs Ternana?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pontedera vs Ternana: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.