Popești-Leordeni vs CSM Reşiţa: match statistics

Popești-Leordeni remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws while scoring 13 goals during that period. At home, the hosts create a very high number of chances, averaging 24 shots per match, 7 of them on target, with an impressive average xG of 2.76. CSM Reşiţa sit higher in the table and have won 4 of their last 5 matches, but they generate significantly fewer high-quality chances away from home, with an average xG of 1.42 compared with the hosts’ 2.76. The visitors have yet to concede in an away match this season, but Popești-Leordeni average 3 goals per home game, so a slight edge is given to the home side.

The latest form clearly supports goals at both ends: Popești-Leordeni recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, while CSM Reşiţa did so in 60%. During this period, both teams averaged 2.6 and 2.0 goals scored respectively, while each conceded 1.0 goal per match. Their attacking potential is further supported by xG figures from the last five matches: 1.96 for the hosts and 1.86 for the visitors, with xG conceded at 1.21 and 1.18 respectively. CSM Reşiţa kept a clean sheet in 100% of their league matches so far, but this is a very small sample and conflicts with their recent run, in which the team conceded 5 goals in 5 matches. The hosts average 7 shots on target, compared with 5 for the visitors, so the most likely scenario is that both teams will score at least one goal — BTTS - Yes / Goal-Goal.

Both teams exceeded the 1.5-goal threshold in 100% of their matches played under these conditions, with each averaging 2.0 goals scored. In their last five fixtures, Popești-Leordeni averaged 2.6 goals per game, while CSM Reşiţa averaged 2.0, with both teams conceding just 1.0 goal on average. Their attacking potential is further supported by xG figures from the last five appearances: 1.96 for the hosts and 1.86 for the visitors, while their opponents allowed average xG figures of 1.21 and 1.18, respectively. The 2.5-goal line is attainable, as 60% of the teams’ last five matches ended with at least three goals; however, the visitors’ season record of 0% Over 2.5 lowers confidence in this option. The strongest signal remains Over 1.5, combining both teams’ 100% historical success rate with a projected 3.02 goals.

CSM Reşiţa have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Popești-Leordeni have recorded 3 wins and 2 draws over the same period. The visitors were leading at the break in 80% of their recent matches and have not been behind at half-time on any occasion, whereas the hosts held the lead in only 50% of such games. Reşiţa averaged 1.4 goals scored before half-time and just 0.4 conceded, while Popești-Leordeni recorded corresponding figures of 1.25 and 0.5 goals. The hosts have the higher average xG, 2.01 compared with 1.42, but the visitors combine an 18% conversion rate with a run of four consecutive wins, strengthening the scenario of them taking the lead and maintaining it until the final whistle. The 2/2 HT/FT outcome therefore remains the strongest option, although the hosts’ advantage in shots on target, 7 to 5, limits its certainty.