Port Vale vs Burton Albion: match statistics
The match is shaping up to be a very even contest between two teams from the lower reaches of the table. Port Vale displays poor home form with just 15% wins and 62% losses at their own stadium, yet their xG (1.5) exceeds their actual goal output (0.85 goals per game). Burton Albion shows slightly better attacking efficiency away from home (1 goal per game with a 9% shot conversion rate), but they concede an average of 1.5 goals in away matches. The recent form of both teams is unsatisfactory - Port Vale has earned 1.2 points per match in their last five games, while Burton has managed only 0.8 points per match. Considering the hosts' high FTS% (62%) and the defensive issues of both sides, the most likely outcome appears to be a draw or a narrow victory for either team, with a slight edge for the hosts playing in front of their own fans.
Port Vale vs Burton Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Port Vale played Burton Albion in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Port Vale: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Burton Albion: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Port Vale scores 0.74 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Burton Albion scores 1.07 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Port Vale 30%, Burton Albion 45%. Over 2.5: Port Vale 41%, Burton Albion 59%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Burton Albion has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.33. Port Vale: 11.8 shots per match, Burton Albion: 11.9.
Match halves
Port Vale: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.52. Burton Albion: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Port Vale: 46-60 (6 goals). Burton Albion: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match is shaping up to be a very even contest between two teams from the lower reaches of the table. Port Vale displays poor home form with just 15% wins and 62% losses at their own stadium, yet their xG (1.5) exceeds their actual goal output (0.85 goals per game). Burton Albion shows slightly better attacking efficiency away from home (1 goal per game with a 9% shot conversion rate), but they concede an average of 1.5 goals in away matches. The recent form of both teams is unsatisfactory - Port Vale has earned 1.2 points per match in their last five games, while Burton has managed only 0.8 points per match. Considering the hosts' high FTS% (62%) and the defensive issues of both sides, the most likely outcome appears to be a draw or a narrow victory for either team, with a slight edge for the hosts playing in front of their own fans.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Port Vale | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Port Vale is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Port Vale · 0.8 pts / match - Burton Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Burton Albion is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Port Vale · 1.07 goals / match - Burton Albion
Port Vale is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - Port Vale · 1.48 goals / match - Burton Albion
Port Vale scores in 41% of matches (11 of 27 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
Burton Albion scores in 59% of matches (17 of 29 matches), while Port Vale keeps a clean sheet in 26% (7 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Port Vale
Over / Under - Burton Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Burton Albion is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Port Vale · 1.24 pts / match - Burton Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Port Vale - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Port Vale
Burton Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Port Vale | Liga | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.15 | 2.54 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | • 26% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 44% | 68% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Port Vale 0 - 1 - 0 Burton Albion. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Port Vale vs Burton Albion?
The EFL League One match finished Port Vale 2:2 Burton Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Port Vale vs Burton Albion?
Port Vale score 0.74 goals per game on average and Burton Albion 1.07. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Port Vale's matches and 45% of Burton Albion's.
What form are Port Vale and Burton Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Port Vale have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Burton Albion 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Port Vale vs Burton Albion?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Port Vale vs Burton Albion: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.