Port Vale vs Reading: match statistics
Reading are the clear favorites in this match. Port Vale occupy the last, 24th position in the table with just a 14% home win rate and an alarming 57% of home matches without scoring a goal. The hosts have lost 3 of their last 5 games and have a negative goal difference (-6) in home matches. Reading, on the other hand, sit in 8th place, have won 3 of their last 5 matches, and are in significantly better form (2 points per game in the last 5 matches vs 0.8 for Port Vale). The visitors boast twice the scoring efficiency (13% vs 7%) and a much lower rate of away matches without a goal (13% vs 57% for the hosts). Although Reading win only 27% of their away matches, their massive superiority in form and quality over one of the league's weakest teams points to an away victory.
Port Vale vs Reading: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Port Vale played Reading in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Port Vale: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Reading: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Port Vale scores 0.79 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Reading scores 1.47 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Port Vale 34%, Reading 69%. Over 2.5: Port Vale 45%, Reading 47%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Port Vale: 11.7 shots per match, Reading: 11.5.
Match halves
Port Vale: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.48. Reading: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Port Vale: 46-60 (6 goals). Reading: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Reading are the clear favorites in this match. Port Vale occupy the last, 24th position in the table with just a 14% home win rate and an alarming 57% of home matches without scoring a goal. The hosts have lost 3 of their last 5 games and have a negative goal difference (-6) in home matches. Reading, on the other hand, sit in 8th place, have won 3 of their last 5 matches, and are in significantly better form (2 points per game in the last 5 matches vs 0.8 for Port Vale). The visitors boast twice the scoring efficiency (13% vs 7%) and a much lower rate of away matches without a goal (13% vs 57% for the hosts). Although Reading win only 27% of their away matches, their massive superiority in form and quality over one of the league's weakest teams points to an away victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Port Vale | Reading | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Reading is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Port Vale · 2 pts / match - Reading
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Reading is 86% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Port Vale · 1.47 goals / match - Reading
Reading is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Port Vale · 1.31 goals / match - Reading
Port Vale scores in 45% of matches (13 of 29 matches), while Reading keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
Reading scores in 91% of matches (29 of 32 matches), while Port Vale keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Port Vale
Over / Under - Reading
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Reading is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Port Vale · 1.47 pts / match - Reading
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Port Vale - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Reading - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Port Vale
Reading
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Port Vale | Liga | Reading | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.24 | 2.60 | ▲ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 34% | 51% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 50% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 69% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 80% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Port Vale 0 - 0 - 1 Reading. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Port Vale vs Reading?
The EFL League One match finished Port Vale 1:1 Reading. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Port Vale vs Reading?
Port Vale score 0.79 goals per game on average and Reading 1.47. The EFL League One average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Port Vale's matches and 69% of Reading's.
What form are Port Vale and Reading in?
Over the last 5 games Port Vale have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Reading 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Port Vale vs Reading?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.