Port Vale vs Rotherham United: match statistics
Port Vale vs Rotherham United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Port Vale play Rotherham United in EFL League One (England). The match date is 7 April 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Port Vale: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Rotherham United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Port Vale scores 0.78 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Rotherham United scores 0.89 and concedes 1.54. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Port Vale 35%, Rotherham United 41%. Over 2.5: Port Vale 39%, Rotherham United 52%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Port Vale has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.18. Port Vale: 11.1 shots per match, Rotherham United: 10.3.
Match halves
Port Vale: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.37. Rotherham United: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Port Vale: 0-15 (10 goals). Rotherham United: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Port Vale holds a statistical home advantage: home xG 1.43 vs Rotherham 1.05, average shots 12.89 vs 9.16 and shots on target 3.79 vs 2.58, indicating more and higher-quality scoring opportunities. Seasonally Port Vale concede 1.21 goals at home vs Rotherham 1.68 on the road — a 0.47-goal edge for the hosts; additionally Port Vale score 0.84 goals per home game vs away teams’ 0.68. Recent form is poor: Port Vale have 1 win in the last 5 and 0.6 points per game, Rotherham have no wins in the last 5 and 0.4 ppg; in that span the hosts scored 3 and conceded 15 (3.0 per game), and the visitors scored 2 and conceded 11 (2.2 per game), showing both defenses have been unstable recently. Also Port Vale fail to score frequently — 53% of their home matches end without their goal — which raises the risk of a low-scoring outcome, but superior xG (1.43 vs 1.05) and more shots and SoT give the hosts an advantage. Based on this I tip a home win (1) with probabilities: Home 55%, Draw 25%, Away 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Port Vale | Rotherham United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rotherham United is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Port Vale · 0.89 goals / match - Rotherham United
Port Vale is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Port Vale · 1.54 goals / match - Rotherham United
Port Vale scores in 48% of matches (22 of 46 matches), while Rotherham United keeps a clean sheet in 22% (10 of 46 matches).
Rotherham United scores in 57% of matches (26 of 46 matches), while Port Vale keeps a clean sheet in 28% (13 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Port Vale
Over / Under — Rotherham United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Port Vale - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rotherham United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Port Vale
Rotherham United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Port Vale | Liga | Rotherham United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 52% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 51% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 27% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 70% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 81% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Port Vale 0 - 0 - 1 Rotherham United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Port Vale vs Rotherham United?
The EFL League One match finished Port Vale 1:0 Rotherham United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Port Vale vs Rotherham United?
Port Vale score 0.78 goals per game on average and Rotherham United 0.89. The EFL League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Port Vale's matches and 41% of Rotherham United's.
What form are Port Vale and Rotherham United in?
Over the last 5 games Port Vale have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Rotherham United 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Port Vale vs Rotherham United?
The statistical background for Port Vale vs Rotherham United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.