Portadown vs Carrick Rangers: match statistics
Portadown vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Portadown played Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 7 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Portadown: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Carrick Rangers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Portadown scores 1.09 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Carrick Rangers scores 1.62 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Portadown 50%, Carrick Rangers 65%. Over 2.5: Portadown 59%, Carrick Rangers 59%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Carrick Rangers has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.18. Portadown: 8.7 shots per match, Carrick Rangers: 9.8.
Match halves
Portadown: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.68. Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Portadown: 76-90+ (11 goals). Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carrick Rangers are the favorites: they have scored 55 goals this season versus Portadown’s 37 and have 10 goals in their last 5 matches compared to Portadown’s 3. The visitors average 1.56 goals per away match with a 16% shot conversion, while the home side records 1.00 goal per home match and 11% conversion. Portadown haven’t won any of their last 5 fixtures (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses) and are averaging 0.6 points per game in that span, whereas Carrick have 2 wins and average 1.4 points per game in the same period. Defensively Portadown concede 1.47 goals at home with an average xG against of 1.65, and Carrick concede 1.5 away with xG against 1.49, indicating a similar defensive level, although Portadown more frequently finish matches without scoring (35% vs 19%). Considering more shots on target (4.31 vs 3.76), higher conversion (16% vs 11%) and the superior away goal balance (+1 for Carrick vs -8 for Portadown at home), I predict a Carrick Rangers victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show a strong seasonal BTTS signal: Portadown 67% and Carrick 63%, versus a league average of 51%, which clearly shifts probability toward 'BTTS - Yes'. In the last 5 matches both sides also have 60% BTTS, and Carrick scored 10 goals in the last 5 (2.0 avg) compared to Portadown 3 goals (0.6 avg), meaning at least one side is regularly finding the net. Both teams rarely keep a clean sheet: Portadown 22% and Carrick 19% clean sheets this season, with Portadown conceding 1.56 goals per match this season (58 conceded) and 1.4 in the last 5, and Carrick conceding 1.5 for the season and 1.0 in the last 5. xG shows similar attacking potential 1.35 (Portadown) vs 1.32 (Carrick) and comparable shots on target 4.18 vs 4.31; additionally 61% of Portadown matches and 56% of Carrick matches are over 2.5 goals, with 56%/50% of those games also finishing BTTS, therefore I select a strong 'Yes' signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Portadown average 1.67 goals at home, Carrick average 1.56 away; percentage of matches over 1.5 goals is 78% (Portadown) and 81% (Carrick), averaging ~79.5%. An xG-based model (1.35 for Portadown and 1.32 for Carrick) and their defensive xG against (1.38 and 1.49) yields expected goals of 1.42 for the home side and 1.35 for the away side, totaling 2.77 — above the 2.5 line and close to the league average of 2.85. Additionally, BTTS occurs in 67% and 63% of matches for the two teams, and shot conversion rate is 16% for both sides, which increases the likelihood of chances being converted. Given the high historical over 1.5 rates (78–81%) and combined xG=2.77, I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal; Over 2.5 also has moderate support (seasonal 61% and 56%, I estimate ~60% probability), whereas Over 3.5 is considerably less likely (~32%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics favor Carrick: the visitors led at the break in 7 matches (44%) and average 1.19 goals in the first half, while Portadown average 0.83. In the last 5 matches Carrick score an average of 2.0 goals per game and have a 40% win rate (2 of 5), whereas Portadown have managed only 0.6 and have not won (0% wins), which increases the likelihood that the visitors will be active from the start. Nevertheless the home side look stronger in second halves this season – Portadown average 0.83 goals after the break versus 0.38 for Carrick and register 6 goals in both the 61–75 and 76–90 minute intervals, so a turnaround is realistic. Considering the visitors' advantage at half-time (44%, 1.19 vs 0.83) and their strong scoring form over the last 5 matches, the most probable scenario is the visitors leading at half-time and winning at full-time (2/2) — hence the selection of 2/2 (22%), with a significant alternative of 2/1 (12%) and X/X (14%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Portadown | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carrick Rangers is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Portadown · 1.4 pts / match - Carrick Rangers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrick Rangers is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Portadown · 1.62 goals / match - Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Portadown · 1.53 goals / match - Carrick Rangers
Portadown scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Carrick Rangers scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Portadown keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Portadown
Over / Under - Carrick Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrick Rangers is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Portadown · 1.53 pts / match - Carrick Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Portadown - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (20 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Portadown
Carrick Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Portadown | Liga | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.79 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.15 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Portadown 1 - 0 - 2 Carrick Rangers. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Portadown vs Carrick Rangers?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Portadown 1:1 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Portadown and Carrick Rangers?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Portadown won 1, Carrick Rangers won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Portadown vs Carrick Rangers?
Portadown score 1.09 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.62. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Portadown's matches and 65% of Carrick Rangers's.
What form are Portadown and Carrick Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Portadown have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Portadown vs Carrick Rangers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.