Portadown vs Larne: match statistics
Larne are the clear favourites for this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 19 wins, 6 draws, and just 2 defeats. The away side is in excellent form, averaging 2.6 points per game over their last five matches and winning four of them. Portadown are in crisis, occupying 9th place with just one win in their last five games and a negative goal difference (-8) at home. The disparity in effectiveness is huge: Larne have a 69% away win rate compared to Portadown's mere 38% home win rate. The xG statistics also favour the visitors (1.5 vs 1.31), and their defence is significantly more solid, conceding an average of 0.77 goals away compared to the hosts' 1.69 goals conceded. All indicators point to a certain victory for leaders Larne.
Portadown vs Larne: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Portadown played Larne in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Portadown: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Larne: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Portadown scores 1.19 and concedes 1.81 goals per match. Larne scores 1.81 and concedes 0.56. League average: 2.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Portadown 50%, Larne 37%. Over 2.5: Portadown 65%, Larne 44%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Larne has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.22. Portadown: 9.0 shots per match, Larne: 13.3.
Match halves
Portadown: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.81. Larne: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.04.
Goals by minute
Portadown: 76-90+ (10 goals). Larne: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larne are the clear favourites for this match, sitting top of the table with an impressive record of 19 wins, 6 draws, and just 2 defeats. The away side is in excellent form, averaging 2.6 points per game over their last five matches and winning four of them. Portadown are in crisis, occupying 9th place with just one win in their last five games and a negative goal difference (-8) at home. The disparity in effectiveness is huge: Larne have a 69% away win rate compared to Portadown's mere 38% home win rate. The xG statistics also favour the visitors (1.5 vs 1.31), and their defence is significantly more solid, conceding an average of 0.77 goals away compared to the hosts' 1.69 goals conceded. All indicators point to a certain victory for leaders Larne.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Portadown | Larne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Larne is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Portadown · 2.2 pts / match - Larne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 52% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Portadown · 1.81 goals / match - Larne
Larne is 223% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.81 goals / match - Portadown · 0.56 goals / match - Larne
Portadown scores in 65% of matches (17 of 26 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 56% (15 of 27 matches).
Larne scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Portadown keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Portadown
Over / Under - Larne
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Larne is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Portadown · 1.78 pts / match - Larne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Portadown - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Larne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Portadown
Larne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Portadown | Liga | Larne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.86 | ▼ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 27% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 77% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Portadown 0 - 0 - 2 Larne. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Portadown vs Larne?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Portadown 2:1 Larne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Portadown and Larne?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Portadown won 0, Larne won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Portadown vs Larne?
Portadown score 1.19 goals per game on average and Larne 1.81. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Portadown's matches and 37% of Larne's.
What form are Portadown and Larne in?
Over the last 5 games Portadown have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Larne 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Portadown vs Larne?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Portadown vs Larne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.