Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison: match statistics
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Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Portland Hearts of Pine play Forward Madison in USL League One (United States). The match date is 16 August 2026.
Current form
Portland Hearts of Pine: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Forward Madison: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Portland Hearts of Pine scores 1.53 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Forward Madison scores 2.06 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Portland Hearts of Pine 74%, Forward Madison 56%. Over 2.5: Portland Hearts of Pine 68%, Forward Madison 61%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Forward Madison has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.46. Portland Hearts of Pine: 12.1 shots per match, Forward Madison: 13.1.
Match halves
Portland Hearts of Pine: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.95. Forward Madison: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Portland Hearts of Pine: 76-90+ (10 goals). Forward Madison: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Portland Hearts of Pine | Forward Madison | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forward Madison is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Portland Hearts of Pine · 2.4 pts / match - Forward Madison
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forward Madison is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Portland Hearts of Pine · 2.06 goals / match - Forward Madison
Forward Madison is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Portland Hearts of Pine · 1.06 goals / match - Forward Madison
Portland Hearts of Pine scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Forward Madison keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Forward Madison scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Portland Hearts of Pine keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Portland Hearts of Pine
Over / Under - Forward Madison
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forward Madison is 101% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Portland Hearts of Pine · 2.11 pts / match - Forward Madison
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Portland Hearts of Pine - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forward Madison - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 61%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Portland Hearts of Pine
Forward Madison
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Portland Hearts of Pine | Liga | Forward Madison | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.26 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 55% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 60% | • 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 26% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▲ 94% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Portland Hearts of Pine 0 - 1 - 1 Forward Madison. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
When do Portland Hearts of Pine and Forward Madison play?
Portland Hearts of Pine face Forward Madison on 16 August 2026 in USL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Portland Hearts of Pine and Forward Madison?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Portland Hearts of Pine won 0, Forward Madison won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison?
Portland Hearts of Pine score 1.53 goals per game on average and Forward Madison 2.06. The USL League One average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Portland Hearts of Pine's matches and 56% of Forward Madison's.
What form are Portland Hearts of Pine and Forward Madison in?
Over the last 5 games Portland Hearts of Pine have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Forward Madison 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison?
The statistical background for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.