Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph: match statistics
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Portland Hearts of Pine played Greenville Triumph in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 23 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Portland Hearts of Pine: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Greenville Triumph: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Portland Hearts of Pine scores 1.13 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Greenville Triumph scores 1.33 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Portland Hearts of Pine 50%, Greenville Triumph 50%. Over 2.5: Portland Hearts of Pine 50%, Greenville Triumph 67%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Greenville Triumph has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.26. Portland Hearts of Pine: 10.1 shots per match, Greenville Triumph: 13.2.
Match halves
Portland Hearts of Pine: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.50. Greenville Triumph: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Portland Hearts of Pine: 0-15 (2 goals). Greenville Triumph: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Portland Hearts of Pine holds a clear advantage across key metrics: the hosts have scored 9 goals this season (9 in the last 5 matches as well) and at home average 1.33 goals with 5.33 shots on target and 16.67 total shots per match, while Greenville averages 0 goals away with only 2 shots on target and 7 total shots. xG comparison confirms this qualitative gap — Portland generates 1.92 xG at home versus 0.95 xG for the visitors away, meaning the hosts create almost twice as many high-quality chances. Defensively the hosts concede just 0.67 goals per home match and have a 33% clean sheet rate, whereas Greenville concedes 1.5 goals on average away and has conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches. The form gap is significant: Portland has 1.6 points per match in the last 5 (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss), and Greenville only 0.6 points (1 win, 4 losses) with 100% away defeats and 100% of away matches without scoring. Considering the superior chance quality (xG 1.92 vs 0.95), higher shooting efficiency (8% vs 0%), and more stable defense (0.67 vs 1.5 goals conceded), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Portland Hearts of Pine strongly supports the BTTS - Yes scenario: season BTTS rate is 75% and 80% in the last 5 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals scored and conceded per match in the last 5. Greenville Triumph has weaker offensive metrics — season goals scored avg 0.0 and only 0.8 in the last 5, season BTTS 0% and 20% in the last 5, reducing their likelihood of scoring. Looking at xG, hosts have season xG 1.82 vs guests 0.95, but in the last 5 guests’ xG is 1.37 vs hosts’ 1.35, indicating Greenville is creating chances despite low conversion. Additionally, Portland averages 16.25 shots and 6.5 on target vs 7.0 and 2.0 for the visitors, and hosts concede 2.25 goals per match on the season — this combination of offensive superiority and susceptibility to conceding leads to assessing BTTS as more likely (60% vs 40%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I estimate 1.66 goals for Portland (1.82 offensive xG and 1.50 xG conceded) and 1.11 for Greenville (0.95 and 1.27), totalling 2.77 goals. At this average the probability of Over 1.5 is about 76%, Over 2.5 around 52%, and Over 3.5 only about 30%, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Portland averages 2.0 goals and has 100% of matches with over 1.5 goals this season and 6.5 shots on target per match versus Greenville’s 2.0, which reinforces the expectation of at least two goals. Greenville has weaker attacking metrics (0.95 xG and 0.8 goals in the last 5 matches) and concedes 1.5 goals on average, so it’s hard to rely on them alone for a high-scoring game. Consequently I recommend Over 1.5 as the best line to play due to the highest probability (76%) and the home side’s advantage in shooting statistics.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (home team leads at the break and wins) because the home side has a clear offensive advantage: xG 1.82 versus 0.95 for the visitors and on average 6.5 shots on target compared to 2.0, which favors early goals. The home team averages 1.25 goals by half-time and concedes 0.75, and in their last five matches they led at the break in 60% of games, increasing the likelihood of a lead after 45 minutes. The visitors have a seasonal record of 0% wins and 100% losses, scored only one goal by half-time this season and generate lower xG and SOT, so a turnaround is unlikely. Based on this I assign a 54% probability to the 1/1 outcome, with smaller probabilities for X/1 (16%) and X/X (20%); scenarios where the visitors lead at the break I regard as practically impossible (0%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Portland Hearts of Pine | Greenville Triumph | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Greenville Triumph is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Portland Hearts of Pine · 1.33 goals / match - Greenville Triumph
Portland Hearts of Pine is 77% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Portland Hearts of Pine · 2 goals / match - Greenville Triumph
Portland Hearts of Pine scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Greenville Triumph keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
Greenville Triumph scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Portland Hearts of Pine keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Portland Hearts of Pine
Over / Under - Greenville Triumph
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Portland Hearts of Pine is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Portland Hearts of Pine · 1 pts / match - Greenville Triumph
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Portland Hearts of Pine - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Greenville Triumph - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Portland Hearts of Pine
Greenville Triumph
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Portland Hearts of Pine | Liga | Greenville Triumph | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.25 | 2.77 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 24% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Portland Hearts of Pine 2 - 0 - 0 Greenville Triumph. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph?
The USL League One match finished Portland Hearts of Pine 1:1 Greenville Triumph. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Portland Hearts of Pine and Greenville Triumph?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Portland Hearts of Pine won 2, Greenville Triumph won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph?
Portland Hearts of Pine score 1.13 goals per game on average and Greenville Triumph 1.33. The USL League One average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Portland Hearts of Pine's matches and 50% of Greenville Triumph's.
What form are Portland Hearts of Pine and Greenville Triumph in?
Over the last 5 games Portland Hearts of Pine have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Greenville Triumph 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.