Portland Hearts of Pine vs Sarasota Paradise: match statistics
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Portland Hearts of Pine vs Sarasota Paradise: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Portland Hearts of Pine play Sarasota Paradise in USL League One (United States). The match date is 26 September 2026.
Current form
Portland Hearts of Pine: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Sarasota Paradise: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Portland Hearts of Pine scores 1.44 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Sarasota Paradise scores 1.27 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.98 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Portland Hearts of Pine 78%, Sarasota Paradise 62%. Over 2.5: Portland Hearts of Pine 63%, Sarasota Paradise 54%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Sarasota Paradise has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.42. Portland Hearts of Pine: 11.9 shots per match, Sarasota Paradise: 12.4.
Match halves
Portland Hearts of Pine: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.93. Sarasota Paradise: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Portland Hearts of Pine: 76-90+ (14 goals). Sarasota Paradise: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Portland Hearts of Pine | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sarasota Paradise is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Portland Hearts of Pine · 1.8 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Portland Hearts of Pine is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Portland Hearts of Pine · 1.27 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Sarasota Paradise is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - Portland Hearts of Pine · 1.5 goals / match - Sarasota Paradise
Portland Hearts of Pine scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Sarasota Paradise keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 matches).
Sarasota Paradise scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Portland Hearts of Pine keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Portland Hearts of Pine
Over / Under - Sarasota Paradise
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sarasota Paradise is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Portland Hearts of Pine · 1.31 pts / match - Sarasota Paradise
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Portland Hearts of Pine - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sarasota Paradise - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +7 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Portland Hearts of Pine
Sarasota Paradise
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Portland Hearts of Pine | Liga | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.15 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 60% | ▲ 62% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 22% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | • 81% | 81% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Portland Hearts of Pine 0 - 0 - 1 Sarasota Paradise. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do Portland Hearts of Pine and Sarasota Paradise play?
Portland Hearts of Pine face Sarasota Paradise on 26 September 2026 in USL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Portland Hearts of Pine vs Sarasota Paradise?
Portland Hearts of Pine score 1.44 goals per game on average and Sarasota Paradise 1.27. The USL League One average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Portland Hearts of Pine's matches and 62% of Sarasota Paradise's.
What form are Portland Hearts of Pine and Sarasota Paradise in?
Over the last 5 games Portland Hearts of Pine have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Sarasota Paradise 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Sarasota Paradise?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Sarasota Paradise: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.