Portland Timbers vs SJ Earthquakes: match statistics
Portland Timbers vs SJ Earthquakes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Portland Timbers played SJ Earthquakes in MLS (United States). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Providence Park. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Portland Timbers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. SJ Earthquakes: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Portland Timbers scores 1.62 and concedes 1.92 goals per match. SJ Earthquakes scores 2.21 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Portland Timbers 62%, SJ Earthquakes 57%. Over 2.5: Portland Timbers 62%, SJ Earthquakes 57%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
SJ Earthquakes has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.35. Portland Timbers: 11.9 shots per match, SJ Earthquakes: 14.5.
Match halves
Portland Timbers: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.62. SJ Earthquakes: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.29.
Goals by minute
Portland Timbers: 16-30 (5 goals). SJ Earthquakes: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I favor Portland (1) primarily due to superior recent metrics over the last five matches: Portland scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches (2.0 per match) with 1.4 points per match, while SJ has only 6 goals (1.2 per match) and 0.4 PPG. At home Portland averages 2.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, whereas SJ away records 2.14 scored and 1.14 conceded, but SJ conceded 10 goals in their last 5 matches (2.0 per match), indicating weakened defensive form. Portland also generates better chances: 4.8 shots on target and 10.6 attempts per home match with a 25% conversion, versus SJ’s 3.43 on target and 9.43 attempts with 23% conversion. Differences in xG are small (Portland xG 1.32 at home vs 1.10 xG for SJ away), but Portland allows higher xG against (1.84 vs 1.66), so I expect an open, high-scoring game (average goals 4.2 for the home side vs 3.29 for the away). Considering 0% FTS for both teams (both regularly score) and the hosts’ better recent form and chance quality, I give them a slight edge and tip a Portland victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS statistics favor the “Yes” outcome: Portland has a seasonal BTTS of 43% and San Jose 71%, with the last 5 matches at 40% and 80% respectively. Both teams regularly score — season goals per match are 2.29 for Portland and 2.14 for San Jose, with xG of 2.11 vs 1.10, while San Jose exhibits higher finishing efficiency (23% vs 12%). Defensively Portland concedes only 0.86 goals seasonally and records 43% clean sheets, but in the last 5 matches they conceded an average of 1.4 goals, whereas San Jose conceded 2.0 goals per match, increasing the likelihood of Goal/Goal. The league overall has a BTTS rate of 61% and an average of 3.26 goals per game, and shooting stats show 19.57 shots and 7.71 on target for Portland vs 9.43 and 3.43 for San Jose — chances will be created. Considering San Jose’s strong pattern (71% season, 80% last 5), the league’s 61% BTTS tendency and both teams’ offensive numbers, I forecast BTTS - Yes at about 65% and No at 35%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The total expected goals are around 2.97 (Portland 1.89 xG, San Jose 1.08 xG), which points to nearly 3 goals in the match. Portland scores on average 2.29 goals at home with 19.57 shots and 7.71 shots on target, while San Jose has 2.14 goals this season with 9.43 shots and 3.43 on target; San Jose’s high finishing rate of 23% versus Portland’s 12% increases the chance of away goals. Season percentages of matches with over 1.5 goals are 86% for Portland and 71% for San Jose, and San Jose has 71% of matches where both teams scored versus 43% for Portland — this further supports a scenario of at least 2 goals. For the 2.5 line both teams are at 57% Over 2.5 seasonally, but the combined xG of 2.97 and Portland’s attack (2.11 xG_for, 19.57 shots) give a moderate edge to Over 2.5 (I estimate ~68%). The strongest, most reliable signal is however Over 1.5, so I recommend betting Over 1.5 as the best line while considering Over 2.5 as a valuable but less certain bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Portland clearly dominates chance creation: xG 2.11 versus 1.10 for San Jose, and on average 19.57 shots and 7.71 SOT compared to 9.43 and 3.43 for the visitors, which favors taking the lead at the break. The home side led at half-time in 4 of 7 home matches (57%) and score on average 1.14 goals before the break versus 0.71 for SJ; additionally all 7 home fixtures featured at least one goal in the first half (100% HT with over 0.5). The visitors have a high away BTTS rate (71%), but have not won in their last 5 matches (0 from 5) and their xG 1.10 indicates a limited number of clear chances. Portland concedes on average only 0.43 goals before the break at home, so given the superiority in shots and xG I expect them to be leading at Half-Time and to maintain that advantage by Full-Time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Portland Timbers | SJ Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Portland Timbers is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Portland Timbers · 1 pts / match - SJ Earthquakes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
SJ Earthquakes is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.62 goals / match - Portland Timbers · 2.21 goals / match - SJ Earthquakes
SJ Earthquakes is 92% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.92 goals / match - Portland Timbers · 1 goals / match - SJ Earthquakes
Portland Timbers scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while SJ Earthquakes keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).
SJ Earthquakes scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Portland Timbers keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Portland Timbers
Over / Under - SJ Earthquakes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
SJ Earthquakes is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Portland Timbers · 1.71 pts / match - SJ Earthquakes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Portland Timbers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
SJ Earthquakes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Portland Timbers
SJ Earthquakes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Portland Timbers | Liga | SJ Earthquakes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.54 | 3.28 | • 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | • 62% | 61% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 62% | 63% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 22% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 77% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 81% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Portland Timbers vs SJ Earthquakes?
The MLS match finished Portland Timbers 1:3 SJ Earthquakes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Portland Timbers vs SJ Earthquakes?
Portland Timbers score 1.62 goals per game on average and SJ Earthquakes 2.21. The MLS average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Portland Timbers's matches and 57% of SJ Earthquakes's.
What form are Portland Timbers and SJ Earthquakes in?
Over the last 5 games Portland Timbers have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and SJ Earthquakes 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Portland Timbers vs SJ Earthquakes?
The statistical background for Portland Timbers vs SJ Earthquakes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.