Porto vs Estrela Amadora: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Porto played Estrela Amadora in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 15 December 2025. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Porto: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Estrela Amadora: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Porto scores 2.08 and concedes 0.23 goals per match. Estrela Amadora scores 1.23 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Porto 23%, Estrela Amadora 46%. Over 2.5: Porto 54%, Estrela Amadora 46%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Porto has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.30. Porto: 14.4 shots per match, Estrela Amadora: 12.4.

Match halves

Porto: half-time lead 69%, second-half goals 1.00. Estrela Amadora: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.54.

Goals by minute

Porto: 31-45+ (6 goals). Estrela Amadora: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga Portugal: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

66Possession (%)34
PortoEstrela Amadora
21Shots6
PortoEstrela Amadora
7Shots on target1
PortoEstrela Amadora
2.33xG0.53
PortoEstrela Amadora
4Corners0
PortoEstrela Amadora
71Dangerous attacks9
PortoEstrela Amadora
13Fouls17
PortoEstrela Amadora
1Cards5
PortoEstrela Amadora

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PortoEstrela Amadora
2.08Goals scored / match1.23
PortoEstrela Amadora
0.23Goals conceded / match1.46
PortoEstrela Amadora
54%Average possession51%
PortoEstrela Amadora
5.77Shots on target / match4
PortoEstrela Amadora

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.38Shots per match12.38
PortoEstrela Amadora
5.77Shots on target4
PortoEstrela Amadora
14.4%Shot conversion9.9%
PortoEstrela Amadora
54%Possession51%
PortoEstrela Amadora
1.66xG for1.3
PortoEstrela Amadora
0.98xG against1.36
PortoEstrela Amadora

Shooting quality

Porto: AttackingEstrela Amadora: Balanced
PortoEstrela Amadora
Accuracy (shots on target)40%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Porto is 114% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Porto · 1.4 pts / match - Estrela Amadora

Porto
WWWWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
92% W8% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-1-0
2.85 pts / match · goal difference +24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
5-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Estrela Amadora
LWDLW
Season result split
23% W38% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-5-5
1.08 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DDLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Porto is 69% better for: goals scored per match.

2.08 goals / match - Porto · 1.23 goals / match - Estrela Amadora

Porto is 535% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.23 goals / match - Porto · 1.46 goals / match - Estrela Amadora

Porto scoring profile: very strong

Porto scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).

Estrela Amadora scoring profile: more difficult

Estrela Amadora scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Porto keeps a clean sheet in 77% (10 of 13 matches).

27Goals scored (season)16
PortoEstrela Amadora
3Goals conceded (season)19
PortoEstrela Amadora
2.31Average goals in match2.69
PortoEstrela Amadora
8Goals scored (last 5)10
PortoEstrela Amadora
2Goals conceded (last 5)11
PortoEstrela Amadora

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal54%
PortoEstrela Amadora
69%2 goals31%
PortoEstrela Amadora
31%3 goals23%
PortoEstrela Amadora
15%4 goals8%
PortoEstrela Amadora

How often they concede at least...

23%1 goal77%
PortoEstrela Amadora
0%2 goals46%
PortoEstrela Amadora
0%3 goals15%
PortoEstrela Amadora
0%4 goals8%
PortoEstrela Amadora

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

44%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time15%
PortoEstrela Amadora
0%BTTS in both halves8%
PortoEstrela Amadora
54%Scored in both halves23%
PortoEstrela Amadora

BTTS and goal count

23%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
PortoEstrela Amadora
31%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
PortoEstrela Amadora
40%BTTS - last 580%
PortoEstrela Amadora

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
PortoEstrela Amadora
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time46%
PortoEstrela Amadora
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time31%
PortoEstrela Amadora

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
PortoEstrela Amadora
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time23%
PortoEstrela Amadora
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
PortoEstrela Amadora

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Porto is 107% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.38 pts / match - Porto · 1.15 pts / match - Estrela Amadora

Porto - half-time state
69% leading31% draw0% trailing
Estrela Amadora - half-time state
31% leading23% draw46% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.38Points per match (1st half)1.15
PortoEstrela Amadora
1.08Goals scored (1st half)0.69
PortoEstrela Amadora
0.08Goals conceded (1st half)0.85
PortoEstrela Amadora
1.15Average goals (1st half)1.54
PortoEstrela Amadora
92%Clean sheet before half-time46%
PortoEstrela Amadora
23%No goal before half-time62%
PortoEstrela Amadora

After half-time (2nd half)

2.23Points per match (2nd half)1.31
PortoEstrela Amadora
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.54
PortoEstrela Amadora
0.15Goals conceded (2nd half)0.62
PortoEstrela Amadora
1.15Average goals (2nd half)1.15
PortoEstrela Amadora
85%Clean sheet after half-time54%
PortoEstrela Amadora
31%No goal after half-time62%
PortoEstrela Amadora

Porto - second-half results

62% W38% D0% L
31
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+13
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 69% of matches and wins 92%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Estrela Amadora - second-half results

31% W38% D31% L
15
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding74%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 23%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Porto - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.80
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Estrela Amadora - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.40
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.2
Average goals in match2.02.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Porto
ScoredConceded
5
0
0-15
3
1
16-30
6
0
31-45
6
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Estrela Amadora
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
4
1
16-30
5
8
31-45
0
5
46-60
5
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Porto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.68
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.75
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
149%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
18%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Estrela Amadora

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).

Teams vs league

PortoLigaEstrela Amadora
Average goals in match 2.312.67 2.69
Both teams scored 23%44% 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 54%51% 46%
Clean sheets 77%30% 23%
Goal before half-time 77%75% 77%
Goal after half-time 69%75% 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
44%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+10%
Home attack advantage
+9%
Home defence advantage
+-1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Estrela AmadoraYellow cardBernardo Schappo
  2. PortoYellow cardJan Kacper Bednarek
  3. Estrela AmadoraGoalAbraham MarcusAssist: Sidny Lopes Cabral
  4. Estrela AmadoraYellow cardRenan Ribeiro
  5. Estrela AmadoraYellow cardAbraham Marcus
  6. PortoSubstitutionOn: Deniz GülOff: Samuel Omorodion Aghehowa
  7. Estrela AmadoraSubstitutionOn: Jorge Monteiro MeirelesOff: Sidny Lopes Cabral
  8. Estrela AmadoraYellow cardJovane Eduardo Borges Cabral
  9. Estrela AmadoraYellow cardOtavio Manoel Galdino Fernandes

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Miguel André Monteiro FonsecaMatches officiated: 10
5.1Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 230%Home wins20%Draws50%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Porto vs Estrela Amadora?

The Liga NOS match finished Porto 3:1 Estrela Amadora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Porto vs Estrela Amadora?

Porto score 2.08 goals per game on average and Estrela Amadora 1.23. The Liga NOS average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 23% of Porto's matches and 46% of Estrela Amadora's.

What form are Porto and Estrela Amadora in?

Over the last 5 games Porto have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Estrela Amadora 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Porto vs Estrela Amadora?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Porto vs Estrela Amadora: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.