Porto vs FC Arouca: match statistics
Porto, as the league leader, displays dominant form, particularly at home, where they have won 82% of matches with only 9% of games seeing them fail to score. The hosts boast an impressive goal difference of +18 in home matches, conceding an average of just 0.27 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet in 73% of fixtures. FC Arouca, conversely, performs poorly on the road, losing 55% of matches and conceding an average of 2.36 goals with a goal difference of -12. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.6 vs 1.15), and Porto's form in the last 5 home matches (wwwdw) is incomparably better than Arouca's away form (ldwll). All key indicators point to a decisive victory for the leader, who should control the match from the opening whistle.
Porto vs FC Arouca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Porto played FC Arouca in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 27 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Porto: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. FC Arouca: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Porto scores 1.91 and concedes 0.30 goals per match. FC Arouca scores 1.35 and concedes 2.13. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Porto 26%, FC Arouca 52%. Over 2.5: Porto 48%, FC Arouca 70%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Porto has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.20. Porto: 14.0 shots per match, FC Arouca: 10.3.
Match halves
Porto: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.13. FC Arouca: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Porto: 46-60 (11 goals). FC Arouca: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Porto, as the league leader, displays dominant form, particularly at home, where they have won 82% of matches with only 9% of games seeing them fail to score. The hosts boast an impressive goal difference of +18 in home matches, conceding an average of just 0.27 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet in 73% of fixtures. FC Arouca, conversely, performs poorly on the road, losing 55% of matches and conceding an average of 2.36 goals with a goal difference of -12. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.6 vs 1.15), and Porto's form in the last 5 home matches (wwwdw) is incomparably better than Arouca's away form (ldwll). All key indicators point to a decisive victory for the leader, who should control the match from the opening whistle.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Porto | FC Arouca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Porto is 11% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Porto · 1.8 pts / match - FC Arouca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Porto is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.91 goals / match - Porto · 1.35 goals / match - FC Arouca
Porto is 610% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.3 goals / match - Porto · 2.13 goals / match - FC Arouca
Porto scores in 96% of matches (22 of 23 matches), while FC Arouca keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
FC Arouca scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Porto keeps a clean sheet in 74% (17 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Porto
Over / Under - FC Arouca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Porto is 118% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.09 pts / match - Porto · 0.96 pts / match - FC Arouca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Porto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 87%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
FC Arouca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Porto
FC Arouca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Porto | Liga | FC Arouca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.22 | 2.77 | ▲ 3.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 26% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 56% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 74% | 30% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 79% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Porto 1 - 0 - 0 FC Arouca. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Porto vs FC Arouca?
The Liga NOS match finished Porto 3:1 FC Arouca. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Porto vs FC Arouca?
Porto score 1.91 goals per game on average and FC Arouca 1.35. The Liga NOS average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 26% of Porto's matches and 52% of FC Arouca's.
What form are Porto and FC Arouca in?
Over the last 5 games Porto have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and FC Arouca 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Porto vs FC Arouca?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.