Porto vs Santa Clara: match statistics
Porto vs Santa Clara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Porto played Santa Clara in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Porto: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Santa Clara: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Porto scores 1.97 and concedes 0.55 goals per match. Santa Clara scores 0.97 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Porto 39%, Santa Clara 42%. Over 2.5: Porto 58%, Santa Clara 36%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Porto has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.26. Porto: 14.5 shots per match, Santa Clara: 11.7.
Match halves
Porto: half-time lead 61%, second-half goals 1.09. Santa Clara: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Porto: 46-60 (13 goals). Santa Clara: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Porto is the clear favorite: at home they score an average of 2.0 goals per match and concede only 0.38, with an 81% home win rate and 69% clean sheets, while Santa Clara away averages 0.94 goals scored and concedes 1.44 with only a 13% away win rate. Offensively Porto averages 14.63 shots and 5.31 on target per game with a 14% conversion rate, whereas Santa Clara posts 11.81 shots and 3.44 on target with an 8% conversion, giving the hosts a clear advantage in chance quality. The xG gap also favors Porto: home xG is 1.67 versus 1.25 xG for the visitors away, and xG against is 0.85 for Porto compared to 1.29 for Santa Clara, suggesting Porto creates better opportunities and restricts opponents more effectively. Additionally Porto have scored 65 goals this season and conceded 18 with a home goal difference of +26, while Santa Clara have 32 scored and 40 conceded with -8 away; the visitors failed to score in 38% of away matches, increasing the likelihood of their defeat. Considering the average points from the last 5 matches (Porto 2.0 points vs Santa Clara 1.6) and form of 3-1-1 for the hosts versus 2-2-1 for the visitors, I predict a Porto win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Porto has a season BTTS rate of 35% versus 50% for Santa Clara, while the league average is 48%, indicating Porto concedes both teams scoring less often than the opponent and the league. The goal difference is stark: Porto 65 scored and 18 conceded (+47), Santa Clara 32 scored and 40 conceded (-8), and Porto registers 41% clean sheets at home versus 19% for Santa. In the last 5 matches both teams show BTTS at 40% and average 1.2 goals scored each, but Porto concedes an average of 0.8 goals versus 1.0 for Santa, demonstrating better defensive form for the hosts. Additionally Porto generates xG 1.8 and xG against 0.9 in the last 5 matches, while Santa has xG 1.28 and xG against 0.96, so Porto creates more chances and simultaneously limits the opponent better; therefore I predict No BTTS (clean sheet expected).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model projects 1.29 expected goals for Porto (Porto 1.28 offensive xG vs Santa Clara 1.29 defensive xG) and 1.14 for Santa Clara (Santa Clara 1.25 offensive xG vs Porto 1.04 defensive xG), totaling 2.43 goals. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 6 goals each (avg. 1.2 each, total 2.4), and season-long percentages of matches over 1.5 stand at 59% for Porto and 56% for Santa Clara, supporting the 1.5 line. Seasonal stats show Porto’s superiority in attack and defense: Porto 65 scored and 18 conceded vs Santa Clara 32 scored and 40 conceded, so the environment favors home goals. With a total of 2.43, Poisson calculations yield roughly a 70% chance of over 1.5 goals, about 44% for over 2.5 and about 23% for over 3.5, therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time a draw is most likely: Porto have been level at the break in 10 matches (59%), and Santa Clara also in 10 matches (63%), with low average goals before the 45th minute — 0.35 for Porto and 0.44 for Santa Clara. Porto keep a clean sheet at half-time in 65% of their games (seasonCSPercentageHT_home 65%), suggesting a goalless or low-scoring first half. In the second half the home side perform better — Porto average 1.18 goals in second halves (AVG_2hg_home 1.18) and score 0.65 goals after the break on average (scored_2hg_avg_home 0.65), while Santa Clara score 0.5 goals after half-time. Additionally Porto have a higher home win rate of 41% versus Santa Clara’s 13% away win rate, and xG is similar (1.28 vs 1.25), indicating an even first half but a home advantage after the break; therefore I select X/1 as the strongest scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Porto | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Porto is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Porto · 1.6 pts / match - Santa Clara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Porto is 103% better for: goals scored per match.
1.97 goals / match - Porto · 0.97 goals / match - Santa Clara
Porto is 120% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.55 goals / match - Porto · 1.21 goals / match - Santa Clara
Porto scores in 97% of matches (32 of 33 matches), while Santa Clara keeps a clean sheet in 30% (10 of 33 matches).
Santa Clara scores in 64% of matches (21 of 33 matches), while Porto keeps a clean sheet in 61% (20 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Porto
Over / Under - Santa Clara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Porto is 122% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.15 pts / match - Porto · 0.97 pts / match - Santa Clara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Porto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 61% of matches and wins 82%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Santa Clara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Porto
Santa Clara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Porto | Liga | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.52 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 48% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 54% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 61% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 69% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 79% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Porto 1 - 0 - 0 Santa Clara. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Porto vs Santa Clara?
The Liga NOS match finished Porto 1:0 Santa Clara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Porto vs Santa Clara?
Porto score 1.97 goals per game on average and Santa Clara 0.97. The Liga NOS average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Porto's matches and 42% of Santa Clara's.
What form are Porto and Santa Clara in?
Over the last 5 games Porto have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Santa Clara 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Porto vs Santa Clara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.