England - ChampionshipFratton ParkData current as of 30 August 2026

Portsmouth vs Derby County: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Portsmouth vs Derby County: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Portsmouth play Derby County in Championship (England). The match date is 1 September 2026. Venue: Fratton Park.

Current form

Portsmouth: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match. Derby County: 0-1-2, 0.33 points/match.

Goal statistics

Portsmouth scores 1.67 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Derby County scores 1.00 and concedes 2.33. League average: 3.03 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Portsmouth 100%, Derby County 67%. Over 2.5: Portsmouth 100%, Derby County 100%. League level: BTTS 78%, Over 2.5 75%.

xG, shots and style

Portsmouth has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.41. Portsmouth: 14.7 shots per match, Derby County: 12.7.

Match halves

Portsmouth: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Derby County: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Portsmouth: 0-15 (2 goals). Derby County: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 3.03 goals per match, BTTS 78%, Over 2.5 75%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.27)
(3.30)
(2.95)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

PortsmouthDerby County
1.67Goals scored / match1
PortsmouthDerby County
2Goals conceded / match2.33
PortsmouthDerby County
56%Average possession46%
PortsmouthDerby County
4.67Shots on target / match3.67
PortsmouthDerby County

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.67Shots per match12.67
PortsmouthDerby County
4.67Shots on target3.67
PortsmouthDerby County
11.4%Shot conversion7.9%
PortsmouthDerby County
56%Possession46%
PortsmouthDerby County
1.65xG for1.41
PortsmouthDerby County
1.37xG against1.99
PortsmouthDerby County

Shooting quality

Portsmouth: DominantDerby County: Balanced
PortsmouthDerby County
Accuracy (shots on target)32%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Portsmouth is 203% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Portsmouth · 0.33 pts / match - Derby County

Portsmouth
LWL
Season result split
33% W0% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Derby County
LDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W33% R67% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-2
0.33 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-2
0.33 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.3xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.99BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Portsmouth is 67% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Portsmouth · 1 goals / match - Derby County

Portsmouth is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Portsmouth · 2.33 goals / match - Derby County

Portsmouth scoring profile: very strong

Portsmouth scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

Derby County scoring profile: very strong

Derby County scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Portsmouth keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

5Goals scored (season)3
PortsmouthDerby County
6Goals conceded (season)7
PortsmouthDerby County
3.67Average goals in match3.33
PortsmouthDerby County
5Goals scored (last 5)3
PortsmouthDerby County
6Goals conceded (last 5)7
PortsmouthDerby County

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal67%
PortsmouthDerby County
33%2 goals33%
PortsmouthDerby County
33%3 goals0%
PortsmouthDerby County
0%4 goals0%
PortsmouthDerby County

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
PortsmouthDerby County
67%2 goals100%
PortsmouthDerby County
33%3 goals33%
PortsmouthDerby County
0%4 goals0%
PortsmouthDerby County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

78%
League average

Goal patterns

67%BTTS at half-time33%
PortsmouthDerby County
0%BTTS in both halves0%
PortsmouthDerby County
33%Scored in both halves33%
PortsmouthDerby County

BTTS and goal count

100%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
PortsmouthDerby County
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
PortsmouthDerby County
100%BTTS - last 567%
PortsmouthDerby County

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
PortsmouthDerby County
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
PortsmouthDerby County
67%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
PortsmouthDerby County

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
PortsmouthDerby County
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
PortsmouthDerby County
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
PortsmouthDerby County

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Portsmouth - half-time state
33% leading0% draw67% trailing
Derby County - half-time state
33% leading0% draw67% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1
PortsmouthDerby County
1Goals scored (1st half)0.67
PortsmouthDerby County
1.67Goals conceded (1st half)1.33
PortsmouthDerby County
2.67Average goals (1st half)2
PortsmouthDerby County
0%Clean sheet before half-time33%
PortsmouthDerby County
33%No goal before half-time33%
PortsmouthDerby County

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1
PortsmouthDerby County
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
PortsmouthDerby County
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)1
PortsmouthDerby County
1Average goals (2nd half)1.33
PortsmouthDerby County
67%Clean sheet after half-time33%
PortsmouthDerby County
33%No goal after half-time67%
PortsmouthDerby County

Portsmouth - second-half results

33% W67% R0% P
3
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-1.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Derby County - second-half results

33% W0% R67% P
3
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Portsmouth - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.67
Goals scored / match1.00.7
Goals conceded / match1.70.3
Average goals in match2.71.0
1 goal100%67%
2 goals67%33%
3 goals67%0%
Clean sheet0%67%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 33% leading - 0% draw - 67% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 67% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 67% - Half-time goals total: 3
Derby County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.70.3
Goals conceded / match1.31.0
Average goals in match2.01.3
1 goal100%100%
2 goals67%33%
3 goals33%0%
Clean sheet33%33%
No goal33%67%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 33% leading - 0% draw - 67% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 0% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Portsmouth
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
5
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Derby County
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
116%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
84%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-57%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Portsmouth

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.61
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 40% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Derby County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.75
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
142%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

PortsmouthLigaDerby County
Average goals in match 3.673.03 3.33
Both teams scored 100%78% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 100%75% 100%
Clean sheets 0%15% 0%
Goal before half-time 100%78% 100%
Goal after half-time 67%81% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.03
Average goals per match
78%
Both teams scored
75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
15%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / match
1.39
Away goals / match
+18%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Portsmouth 0 - 1 - 1 Derby County. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do Portsmouth and Derby County play?

Portsmouth face Derby County on 1 September 2026 in Championship at Fratton Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Portsmouth and Derby County?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Portsmouth won 0, Derby County won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Portsmouth vs Derby County?

Portsmouth score 1.67 goals per game on average and Derby County 1.00. The Championship average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 75% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Portsmouth's matches and 67% of Derby County's.

What form are Portsmouth and Derby County in?

Over the last 5 games Portsmouth have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Derby County 0-1-2 (0.33 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Portsmouth vs Derby County?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.