Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueRuaraka StadiumData current as of 21 October 2026

Posta Rangers vs Gor Mahia: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Posta Rangers vs Gor Mahia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Posta Rangers play Gor Mahia in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Ruaraka Stadium.

Current form

Posta Rangers: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match. Gor Mahia: 2-0-0, 3.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Posta Rangers scores 0.50 and concedes 3.00 goals per match. Gor Mahia scores 2.50 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.24 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Posta Rangers 50%, Gor Mahia 50%. Over 2.5: Posta Rangers 50%, Gor Mahia 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

Gor Mahia has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.21. Posta Rangers: 7.5 shots per match, Gor Mahia: 15.0.

Match halves

Posta Rangers: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50. Gor Mahia: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 2.00.

Goals by minute

Posta Rangers: 76-90+ (1 goals). Gor Mahia: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Kenyan Premier League: 2.24 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.5Goals scored / match2.5
Posta RangersGor Mahia
3Goals conceded / match1
Posta RangersGor Mahia
53%Average possession54%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
1.5Shots on target / match3.5
Posta RangersGor Mahia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.5Shots per match15
Posta RangersGor Mahia
1.5Shots on target3.5
Posta RangersGor Mahia
6.7%Shot conversion16.7%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
53%Possession54%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
1.21xG for1.84
Posta RangersGor Mahia
1.74xG against1.48
Posta RangersGor Mahia

Shooting quality

Posta Rangers: BalancedGor Mahia: Attacking
Posta RangersGor Mahia
Accuracy (shots on target)20%23%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.71

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Posta Rangers
LL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% D100% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-2
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%
Gor Mahia
WW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.5Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.84Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 50%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gor Mahia is 400% better for: goals scored per match.

0.5 goals / match - Posta Rangers · 2.5 goals / match - Gor Mahia

Gor Mahia is 200% better for: goals conceded per match.

3 goals / match - Posta Rangers · 1 goals / match - Gor Mahia

Posta Rangers scoring profile: mixed

Posta Rangers scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 matches).

Gor Mahia scoring profile: very strong

Gor Mahia scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Posta Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).

1Goals scored (season)5
Posta RangersGor Mahia
6Goals conceded (season)2
Posta RangersGor Mahia
3.5Average goals in match3.5
Posta RangersGor Mahia
1Goals scored (last 5)5
Posta RangersGor Mahia
6Goals conceded (last 5)2
Posta RangersGor Mahia

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal100%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
0%2 goals50%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
0%3 goals50%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
0%4 goals50%
Posta RangersGor Mahia

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal50%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
50%2 goals50%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
50%3 goals0%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
50%4 goals0%
Posta RangersGor Mahia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
0%Scored in both halves50%
Posta RangersGor Mahia

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
50%BTTS - last 550%
Posta RangersGor Mahia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
50%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Posta RangersGor Mahia

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
Posta RangersGor Mahia

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gor Mahia is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.5 pts / match - Posta Rangers · 2 pts / match - Gor Mahia

Posta Rangers - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing
Gor Mahia - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.5Points per match (1st half)2
Posta RangersGor Mahia
0Goals scored (1st half)0.5
Posta RangersGor Mahia
1.5Goals conceded (1st half)0
Posta RangersGor Mahia
1.5Average goals (1st half)0.5
Posta RangersGor Mahia
50%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
100%No goal before half-time50%
Posta RangersGor Mahia

After half-time (2nd half)

0Points per match (2nd half)3
Posta RangersGor Mahia
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)2
Posta RangersGor Mahia
1.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1
Posta RangersGor Mahia
2Average goals (2nd half)3
Posta RangersGor Mahia
0%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Posta RangersGor Mahia
50%No goal after half-time0%
Posta RangersGor Mahia

Posta Rangers - second-half results

0% W0% D100% L
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gor Mahia - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Posta Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.500.00
Goals scored / match0.00.5
Goals conceded / match1.51.5
Average goals in match1.52.0
1 goal50%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals50%50%
Clean sheet50%0%
No goal100%50%
Goal difference-3-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 50% draw - 50% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Gor Mahia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.003.00
Goals scored / match0.52.0
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match0.53.0
1 goal50%100%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%50%
No goal50%0%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Posta Rangers
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
2
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Gor Mahia
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 2.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
156%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Posta Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.97
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.71
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
42%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
283%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

Gor Mahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.66
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
236%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.5
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

Posta RangersLigaGor Mahia
Average goals in match▲ 3.502.24▲ 3.50
Both teams scored▼ 50%53%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%35%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 0%32%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 50%47%▲ 50%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%76%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.24
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+-5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
47%
1 goal
18%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Posta Rangers 0 - 2 - 2 Gor Mahia. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Posta Rangers
1 : 1
Gor Mahia
Posta Rangers
1 : 1
Gor Mahia
Gor Mahia
3 : 0
Posta Rangers
Gor Mahia
3 : 0
Posta Rangers

FAQ

When do Posta Rangers and Gor Mahia play?

Posta Rangers face Gor Mahia on 25 October 2026 in Kenyan Premier League at Ruaraka Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Posta Rangers and Gor Mahia?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Posta Rangers won 0, Gor Mahia won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Posta Rangers vs Gor Mahia?

Posta Rangers score 0.50 goals per game on average and Gor Mahia 2.50. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Posta Rangers's matches and 50% of Gor Mahia's.

What form are Posta Rangers and Gor Mahia in?

Over the last 5 games Posta Rangers have a 0-0-2 record (0.00 points per game) and Gor Mahia 2-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Posta Rangers vs Gor Mahia?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.