Potenza Calcio vs Casertana: match statistics
Casertana are in much better form over their last five matches, averaging 2.2 points per game compared to Potenza's mere 1.0. The visitors have an impressive record of 11 wins this season and are unbeaten in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while Potenza have won only once during this period. Casertana boast a higher shooting accuracy (13% shot conversion vs 10%) and a low percentage of away matches without a goal scored (9%). Potenza have a weaker defense, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match at home, which could be exploited by the visitors' well-functioning attack. Although Potenza have an advantage in ball possession (55% vs 48%), Casertana are more efficient in finishing their chances, and given both teams' current form, this points to an away win.
Potenza Calcio vs Casertana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Potenza Calcio played Casertana in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Potenza Calcio: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Casertana: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Potenza Calcio scores 1.29 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Casertana scores 1.52 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Potenza Calcio 52%, Casertana 57%. Over 2.5: Potenza Calcio 62%, Casertana 48%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Potenza Calcio has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.41. Potenza Calcio: 13.0 shots per match, Casertana: 10.9.
Match halves
Potenza Calcio: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.57. Casertana: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Potenza Calcio: 31-45+ (6 goals). Casertana: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Casertana are in much better form over their last five matches, averaging 2.2 points per game compared to Potenza's mere 1.0. The visitors have an impressive record of 11 wins this season and are unbeaten in their last five matches (3 wins, 2 draws), while Potenza have won only once during this period. Casertana boast a higher shooting accuracy (13% shot conversion vs 10%) and a low percentage of away matches without a goal scored (9%). Potenza have a weaker defense, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match at home, which could be exploited by the visitors' well-functioning attack. Although Potenza have an advantage in ball possession (55% vs 48%), Casertana are more efficient in finishing their chances, and given both teams' current form, this points to an away win.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Potenza Calcio | Casertana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Casertana is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Potenza Calcio · 2.2 pts / match - Casertana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Casertana is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Potenza Calcio · 1.52 goals / match - Casertana
Casertana is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Potenza Calcio · 1 goals / match - Casertana
Potenza Calcio scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Casertana keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Casertana scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Potenza Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Potenza Calcio
Over / Under - Casertana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Potenza Calcio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Casertana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Potenza Calcio
Casertana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Potenza Calcio | Liga | Casertana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.81 | 2.52 | • 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 51% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 49% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 65% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Potenza Calcio 0 - 0 - 1 Casertana. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Potenza Calcio vs Casertana?
The Serie C Group C match finished Potenza Calcio 2:0 Casertana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Potenza Calcio vs Casertana?
Potenza Calcio score 1.29 goals per game on average and Casertana 1.52. The Serie C Group C average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Potenza Calcio's matches and 57% of Casertana's.
What form are Potenza Calcio and Casertana in?
Over the last 5 games Potenza Calcio have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Casertana 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Potenza Calcio vs Casertana?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Potenza Calcio vs Casertana: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.