Potenza Calcio vs Catania: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Potenza Calcio played Catania in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 14 December 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Potenza Calcio: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Catania: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Potenza Calcio scores 1.47 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Catania scores 1.71 and concedes 0.47. League average: 2.59 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Potenza Calcio 53%, Catania 18%. Over 2.5: Potenza Calcio 65%, Catania 29%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.

xG, shots and style

Potenza Calcio has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.48. Potenza Calcio: 13.2 shots per match, Catania: 11.3.

Match halves

Potenza Calcio: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.65. Catania: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Potenza Calcio: 31-45+ (6 goals). Catania: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group C: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 51%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
Potenza CalcioCatania
7Shots15
Potenza CalcioCatania
1Shots on target5
Potenza CalcioCatania
0.71xG1.82
Potenza CalcioCatania
3Corners6
Potenza CalcioCatania
26Dangerous attacks74
Potenza CalcioCatania
11Fouls18
Potenza CalcioCatania
5Cards4
Potenza CalcioCatania

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Potenza CalcioCatania
1.47Goals scored / match1.71
Potenza CalcioCatania
1.47Goals conceded / match0.47
Potenza CalcioCatania
54%Average possession44%
Potenza CalcioCatania
4.65Shots on target / match4.59
Potenza CalcioCatania

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.24Shots per match11.29
Potenza CalcioCatania
4.65Shots on target4.59
Potenza CalcioCatania
11.1%Shot conversion15.1%
Potenza CalcioCatania
54%Possession44%
Potenza CalcioCatania
1.53xG for1.48
Potenza CalcioCatania
1.53xG against1.03
Potenza CalcioCatania

Shooting quality

Potenza Calcio: BalancedCatania: Counter-attacking
Potenza CalcioCatania
Accuracy (shots on target)35%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Catania is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Potenza Calcio · 2.4 pts / match - Catania

Potenza Calcio
LWDWD
Season result split
35% W35% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-6-5
1.41 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.85BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Catania
WLWWW
Season result split
65% W24% D12% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-4-2
2.18 pts / match · goal difference +21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-2
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 0.87BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Catania is 16% better for: goals scored per match.

1.47 goals / match - Potenza Calcio · 1.71 goals / match - Catania

Catania is 213% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.47 goals / match - Potenza Calcio · 0.47 goals / match - Catania

Potenza Calcio scoring profile: more difficult

Potenza Calcio scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while Catania keeps a clean sheet in 76% (13 of 17 matches).

Catania scoring profile: very strong

Catania scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Potenza Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).

25Goals scored (season)29
Potenza CalcioCatania
25Goals conceded (season)8
Potenza CalcioCatania
2.94Average goals in match2.18
Potenza CalcioCatania
8Goals scored (last 5)6
Potenza CalcioCatania
8Goals conceded (last 5)1
Potenza CalcioCatania

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal82%
Potenza CalcioCatania
53%2 goals47%
Potenza CalcioCatania
24%3 goals18%
Potenza CalcioCatania
0%4 goals12%
Potenza CalcioCatania

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal24%
Potenza CalcioCatania
53%2 goals12%
Potenza CalcioCatania
24%3 goals6%
Potenza CalcioCatania
0%4 goals6%
Potenza CalcioCatania

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time6%
Potenza CalcioCatania
24%BTTS in both halves6%
Potenza CalcioCatania
47%Scored in both halves41%
Potenza CalcioCatania

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS12%
Potenza CalcioCatania
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
Potenza CalcioCatania
80%BTTS - last 50%
Potenza CalcioCatania

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Potenza CalcioCatania
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Potenza CalcioCatania
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Potenza CalcioCatania

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
Potenza CalcioCatania
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
Potenza CalcioCatania
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
Potenza CalcioCatania

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Catania is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.59 pts / match - Potenza Calcio · 1.94 pts / match - Catania

Potenza Calcio - half-time state
41% leading35% draw24% trailing
Catania - half-time state
53% leading35% draw12% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.59Points per match (1st half)1.94
Potenza CalcioCatania
0.82Goals scored (1st half)0.82
Potenza CalcioCatania
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.18
Potenza CalcioCatania
1.35Average goals (1st half)1
Potenza CalcioCatania
59%Clean sheet before half-time82%
Potenza CalcioCatania
41%No goal before half-time41%
Potenza CalcioCatania

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.88
Potenza CalcioCatania
0.65Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
Potenza CalcioCatania
0.94Goals conceded (2nd half)0.29
Potenza CalcioCatania
1.59Average goals (2nd half)1.18
Potenza CalcioCatania
29%Clean sheet after half-time82%
Potenza CalcioCatania
41%No goal after half-time35%
Potenza CalcioCatania

Potenza Calcio - second-half results

18% W47% D35% L
27
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 35%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Catania - second-half results

47% W47% D6% L
33
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.94
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Potenza Calcio - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Catania - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.80
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.0
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Potenza Calcio
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
5
5
16-30
6
2
31-45
5
3
46-60
3
7
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Catania
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
5
2
31-45
3
2
46-60
6
0
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Potenza Calcio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
132%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Catania

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.79
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
154%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
32%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

Potenza CalcioLigaCatania
Average goals in match 2.942.59 2.18
Both teams scored 53%53% 18%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 65%51% 29%
Clean sheets 29%28% 76%
Goal before half-time 76%67% 71%
Goal after half-time 82%80% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.59
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CataniaGoalFrancesco Forte
  2. Potenza CalcioGoalNicolò Bruschi
  3. Potenza CalcioRed cardNicolò Bruschi
  4. CataniaYellow cardFrancesco Di Tacchio
  5. CataniaYellow cardAlessandro Celli
  6. Potenza CalcioSubstitutionOn: Antonino De MarcoOff: Francesco Maisto
  7. CataniaYellow cardMatteo Di Gennaro
  8. Potenza CalcioSubstitutionOn: Gabriele SelleriOff: Luca Mazzeo
  9. CataniaSubstitutionOn: Salvatore CaturanoOff: Francesco Forte
  10. Potenza CalcioYellow cardTommaso Cucchietti
  11. Potenza CalcioSubstitutionOn: Marco BalzanoOff: Mattia Novella
  12. Potenza CalcioSubstitutionOn: Luca PetrungaroOff: Lucas Felippe Nascimento
  13. Potenza CalcioYellow cardGabriele Selleri
  14. Potenza CalcioYellow cardAntonino De Marco
  15. CataniaYellow cardTiago Matías Casasola

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Potenza Calcio vs Catania?

The Serie C Group C match finished Potenza Calcio 1:1 Catania. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Potenza Calcio vs Catania?

Potenza Calcio score 1.47 goals per game on average and Catania 1.71. The Serie C Group C average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Potenza Calcio's matches and 18% of Catania's.

What form are Potenza Calcio and Catania in?

Over the last 5 games Potenza Calcio have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Catania 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Potenza Calcio vs Catania?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Potenza Calcio vs Catania: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.