Potenza Calcio vs Cavese: match statistics
Potenza Calcio showcases a significantly better home form with a 47% win rate and an impressive +10 goal difference at their own stadium. Over their last five matches generally, the hosts have averaged 1.8 points per game, winning three fixtures, while Cavese has a poor away record with just a 13% win rate and a negative goal difference of -10. The xG statistics also favor Potenza (1.54 xGFor vs 1.29 xGFor for Cavese away from home), and the hosts score nearly twice as many goals on average at home (1.53) as the visitors do on the road (0.8). Cavese fails to score in 53% of their away matches, which, combined with Potenza's solid defense (53% clean sheets), grants the home side a clear advantage. Potenza's high home draw percentage (40%) and Cavese's current form suggest a potential splitting of points; however, the hosts' qualitative and statistical edge points towards their victory.
Potenza Calcio vs Cavese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Potenza Calcio played Cavese in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Potenza Calcio: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Cavese: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Potenza Calcio scores 1.26 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Cavese scores 0.97 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Potenza Calcio 45%, Cavese 39%. Over 2.5: Potenza Calcio 55%, Cavese 35%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Potenza Calcio has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.36. Potenza Calcio: 11.9 shots per match, Cavese: 10.6.
Match halves
Potenza Calcio: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.65. Cavese: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Potenza Calcio: 46-60 (9 goals). Cavese: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Potenza Calcio showcases a significantly better home form with a 47% win rate and an impressive +10 goal difference at their own stadium. Over their last five matches generally, the hosts have averaged 1.8 points per game, winning three fixtures, while Cavese has a poor away record with just a 13% win rate and a negative goal difference of -10. The xG statistics also favor Potenza (1.54 xGFor vs 1.29 xGFor for Cavese away from home), and the hosts score nearly twice as many goals on average at home (1.53) as the visitors do on the road (0.8). Cavese fails to score in 53% of their away matches, which, combined with Potenza's solid defense (53% clean sheets), grants the home side a clear advantage. Potenza's high home draw percentage (40%) and Cavese's current form suggest a potential splitting of points; however, the hosts' qualitative and statistical edge points towards their victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Potenza Calcio | Cavese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Potenza Calcio is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Potenza Calcio · 1.4 pts / match - Cavese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Potenza Calcio is 30% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Potenza Calcio · 0.97 goals / match - Cavese
Cavese is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Potenza Calcio · 1.16 goals / match - Cavese
Potenza Calcio scores in 68% of matches (21 of 31 matches), while Cavese keeps a clean sheet in 35% (11 of 31 matches).
Cavese scores in 61% of matches (19 of 31 matches), while Potenza Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Potenza Calcio
Over / Under - Cavese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Potenza Calcio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cavese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Potenza Calcio
Cavese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Potenza Calcio | Liga | Cavese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.47 | ▼ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 48% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 46% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 30% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 66% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Potenza Calcio 0 - 0 - 1 Cavese. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Potenza Calcio vs Cavese?
The Serie C Group C match finished Potenza Calcio 2:2 Cavese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Potenza Calcio vs Cavese?
Potenza Calcio score 1.26 goals per game on average and Cavese 0.97. The Serie C Group C average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Potenza Calcio's matches and 39% of Cavese's.
What form are Potenza Calcio and Cavese in?
Over the last 5 games Potenza Calcio have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Cavese 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Potenza Calcio vs Cavese?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Potenza Calcio vs Cavese: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.