Potenza Calcio vs Cosenza: match statistics
Potenza Calcio demonstrates impressive home form with 50% wins and only 7% losses, making them a formidable side on their own turf. The hosts average 1.57 goals per home match while maintaining 57% clean sheets, evidencing a solid defense. Cosenza struggles significantly in away matches, securing only 21% victories and scoring a mere 0.86 goals per game on the road, with a negative goal difference of -3. While recent form is comparable (Potenza 1.6 PPG vs Cosenza 2.0 PPG), the home advantage and Potenza's significantly better home stats favor their victory. However, Cosenza's high away draw percentage (57%) suggests the visitors may offer resistance, making a split of points a notable possibility.
Potenza Calcio vs Cosenza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Potenza Calcio played Cosenza in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 5 March 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Potenza Calcio: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Cosenza: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Potenza Calcio scores 1.28 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Cosenza scores 1.52 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Potenza Calcio 45%, Cosenza 55%. Over 2.5: Potenza Calcio 55%, Cosenza 55%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Cosenza has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.39. Potenza Calcio: 11.9 shots per match, Cosenza: 11.2.
Match halves
Potenza Calcio: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.66. Cosenza: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Potenza Calcio: 31-45+ (8 goals). Cosenza: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Potenza Calcio demonstrates impressive home form with 50% wins and only 7% losses, making them a formidable side on their own turf. The hosts average 1.57 goals per home match while maintaining 57% clean sheets, evidencing a solid defense. Cosenza struggles significantly in away matches, securing only 21% victories and scoring a mere 0.86 goals per game on the road, with a negative goal difference of -3. While recent form is comparable (Potenza 1.6 PPG vs Cosenza 2.0 PPG), the home advantage and Potenza's significantly better home stats favor their victory. However, Cosenza's high away draw percentage (57%) suggests the visitors may offer resistance, making a split of points a notable possibility.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Potenza Calcio | Cosenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cosenza is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Potenza Calcio · 2 pts / match - Cosenza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cosenza is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - Potenza Calcio · 1.52 goals / match - Cosenza
Cosenza is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - Potenza Calcio · 1.07 goals / match - Cosenza
Potenza Calcio scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Cosenza keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
Cosenza scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Potenza Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Potenza Calcio
Over / Under - Cosenza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Potenza Calcio is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.34 pts / match - Potenza Calcio · 1.24 pts / match - Cosenza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Potenza Calcio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cosenza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Potenza Calcio
Cosenza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Potenza Calcio | Liga | Cosenza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.69 | 2.46 | ▲ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 46% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 30% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 65% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Potenza Calcio 0 - 0 - 1 Cosenza. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Potenza Calcio vs Cosenza?
The Serie C Group C match finished Potenza Calcio 1:4 Cosenza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Potenza Calcio vs Cosenza?
Potenza Calcio score 1.28 goals per game on average and Cosenza 1.52. The Serie C Group C average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Potenza Calcio's matches and 55% of Cosenza's.
What form are Potenza Calcio and Cosenza in?
Over the last 5 games Potenza Calcio have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cosenza 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Potenza Calcio vs Cosenza?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Potenza Calcio vs Cosenza: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.