Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Casarano: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Potenza Calcio played Virtus Casarano in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 30 November 2025. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Potenza Calcio: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Virtus Casarano: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Potenza Calcio scores 1.33 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Virtus Casarano scores 1.73 and concedes 1.73. League average: 2.60 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Potenza Calcio 47%, Virtus Casarano 53%. Over 2.5: Potenza Calcio 60%, Virtus Casarano 73%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Potenza Calcio has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.26. Potenza Calcio: 12.6 shots per match, Virtus Casarano: 9.9.

Match halves

Potenza Calcio: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.60. Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.07.

Goals by minute

Potenza Calcio: 31-45+ (5 goals). Virtus Casarano: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group C: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
15Shots11
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
9Shots on target5
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.89xG1.46
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
5Corners7
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
44Dangerous attacks57
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
11Fouls10
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
2Cards3
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.33Goals scored / match1.73
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.47Goals conceded / match1.73
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
56%Average possession50%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
4.33Shots on target / match4.33
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.6Shots per match9.93
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
4.33Shots on target4.33
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
10.6%Shot conversion17.4%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
56%Possession50%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.48xG for1.26
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.54xG against1.57
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Shooting quality

Potenza Calcio: BalancedVirtus Casarano: Efficient finishing
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
Accuracy (shots on target)34%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Potenza Calcio is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Potenza Calcio · 1.2 pts / match - Virtus Casarano

Potenza Calcio
LWLWD
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-5
1.33 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Virtus Casarano
LLLWW
Season result split
47% W20% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-5
1.60 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DWLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 0.96Opponent xG: 1.68BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Virtus Casarano is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Potenza Calcio · 1.73 goals / match - Virtus Casarano

Potenza Calcio is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.47 goals / match - Potenza Calcio · 1.73 goals / match - Virtus Casarano

Potenza Calcio scoring profile: strong

Potenza Calcio scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).

Virtus Casarano scoring profile: very strong

Virtus Casarano scores in 87% of matches (13 of 15 matches), while Potenza Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).

20Goals scored (season)26
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
22Goals conceded (season)26
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
2.8Average goals in match3.47
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
8Goals conceded (last 5)12
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal87%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
47%2 goals53%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
20%3 goals33%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
0%4 goals0%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal60%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
53%2 goals47%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
27%3 goals33%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
0%4 goals20%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time27%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
20%BTTS in both halves13%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
40%Scored in both halves27%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
40%BTTS - last 580%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time40%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time47%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Potenza Calcio is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.53 pts / match - Potenza Calcio · 1.4 pts / match - Virtus Casarano

Potenza Calcio - half-time state
40% leading33% draw27% trailing
Virtus Casarano - half-time state
33% leading40% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.53Points per match (1st half)1.4
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.67
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.27Average goals (1st half)1.33
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
60%Clean sheet before half-time53%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
47%No goal before half-time47%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.4
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)1.07
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
0.93Goals conceded (2nd half)1.07
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.53Average goals (2nd half)2.13
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
33%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
47%No goal after half-time40%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Potenza Calcio - second-half results

20% W40% D40% L
23
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding83%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Virtus Casarano - second-half results

40% W20% D40% L
21
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Potenza Calcio - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Virtus Casarano - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.80
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.8
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-7
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Potenza Calcio
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
5
16-30
5
1
31-45
4
3
46-60
2
7
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Virtus Casarano
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
4
5
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
5
3
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.13
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
120%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Potenza Calcio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
132%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Virtus Casarano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
156%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

Potenza CalcioLigaVirtus Casarano
Average goals in match 2.802.60 3.47
Both teams scored 47%51% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%53% 73%
Clean sheets 33%29% 40%
Goal before half-time 73%66% 73%
Goal after half-time 80%79% 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.60
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+34%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Potenza CalcioGoalMatteo GhisolfiAssist: Emanuele Schimmenti
  2. Potenza CalcioGoalGabriele SelleriAssist: Emanuele Schimmenti
  3. Virtus CasaranoYellow cardGaetano Logoluso
  4. Potenza CalcioYellow cardEmanuele Schimmenti
  5. Virtus CasaranoSubstitutionOn: Giovanni PintoOff: Flavio Di Dio
  6. Potenza CalcioGoalGabriele SelleriAssist: Emanuele Schimmenti
  7. Potenza CalcioYellow cardMattia Novella
  8. Virtus CasaranoSubstitutionOn: Emanuele ZanaboniOff: Leonardo Perez
  9. Virtus CasaranoSubstitutionOn: Vincenzo MillicoOff: Ismael Cajazzo
  10. Potenza CalcioSubstitutionOn: Francesco MaistoOff: Gabriele Selleri
  11. Virtus CasaranoYellow cardBright Gyamfi
  12. Virtus CasaranoYellow cardEmanuele Zanaboni
  13. Virtus CasaranoGoalCosimo Chiricò

FAQ

What was the result of Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Casarano?

The Serie C Group C match finished Potenza Calcio 3:1 Virtus Casarano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Casarano?

Potenza Calcio score 1.33 goals per game on average and Virtus Casarano 1.73. The Serie C Group C average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Potenza Calcio's matches and 53% of Virtus Casarano's.

What form are Potenza Calcio and Virtus Casarano in?

Over the last 5 games Potenza Calcio have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Virtus Casarano 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Casarano?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Casarano: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.