Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Casarano: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Potenza Calcio play Virtus Casarano in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 30 November 2025 at 20:30. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Potenza Calcio: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Virtus Casarano: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Potenza Calcio scores 1.42 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Virtus Casarano scores 1.47 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Potenza Calcio 53%, Virtus Casarano 58%. Over 2.5: Potenza Calcio 61%, Virtus Casarano 63%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Potenza Calcio has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.21. Potenza Calcio: 12.2 shots per match, Virtus Casarano: 9.4.

Match halves

Potenza Calcio: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.71. Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.89.

Goals by minute

Potenza Calcio: 76-90+ (12 goals). Virtus Casarano: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

47Possession (%)53
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
15Shots11
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
9Shots on target5
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.89xG1.46
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
5Corners7
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
44Dangerous attacks57
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
11Fouls10
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
2Cards3
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.42Goals scored / match1.47
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.47Goals conceded / match1.5
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
53%Average possession50%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
4.05Shots on target / match3.79
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.16Shots per match9.45
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
4.05Shots on target3.79
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
11.7%Shot conversion15.6%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
53%Possession50%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.41xG for1.21
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.5xG against1.53
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Shooting quality

Potenza Calcio: BalancedVirtus Casarano: Efficient finishing
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
Accuracy (shots on target)33%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Virtus Casarano is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Potenza Calcio · 2.4 pts / match - Virtus Casarano

Potenza Calcio
WLWDD
Season result split
32% W34% R34% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-13-13
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-8-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
LDWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Virtus Casarano
WWWLW
Season result split
42% W21% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
16-8-14
1.47 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-3-10
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Potenza Calcio scoring profile: very strong

Potenza Calcio scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).

Virtus Casarano scoring profile: very strong

Virtus Casarano scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Potenza Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).

54Goals scored (season)56
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
56Goals conceded (season)57
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
2.89Average goals in match2.97
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
12Goals scored (last 5)11
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal82%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
45%2 goals45%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
18%3 goals18%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
3%4 goals3%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal74%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
55%2 goals42%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
16%3 goals21%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
5%4 goals8%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time18%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
13%BTTS in both halves8%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
34%Scored in both halves24%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
16%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
80%BTTS - last 560%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time37%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

2nd half

84%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time61%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
16%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Potenza Calcio - half-time state
34% leading37% draw29% trailing
Virtus Casarano - half-time state
32% leading45% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.39Points per match (1st half)1.39
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.58
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.34Average goals (1st half)1.13
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
53%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
50%No goal before half-time53%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)1.32
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.89
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
0.84Goals conceded (2nd half)0.95
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.84
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
37%Clean sheet after half-time39%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano
42%No goal after half-time42%
Potenza CalcioVirtus Casarano

Potenza Calcio - second-half results

26% W39% R34% P
53
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding94%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Virtus Casarano - second-half results

34% W29% R37% P
53
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding131%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Potenza Calcio - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.401.40
Goals scored / match1.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match2.21.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3+2
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
Virtus Casarano - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.00
Goals scored / match0.81.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.8
Average goals in match0.82.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference+4+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Potenza Calcio
ScoredConceded
7
10
0-15
10
8
16-30
10
6
31-45
11
8
46-60
4
11
61-75
12
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Virtus Casarano
ScoredConceded
9
7
0-15
5
10
16-30
8
4
31-45
8
10
46-60
12
9
61-75
14
17
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.93
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
118%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
56%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Potenza Calcio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.09
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
143%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Virtus Casarano

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.93
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

Potenza CalcioLigaVirtus Casarano
Average goals in match 2.892.49 2.97
Both teams scored 53%51% 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 61%46% 63%
Clean sheets 29%28% 26%
Goal before half-time 74%67% 68%
Goal after half-time 84%79% 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.46
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Potenza Calcio 0 - 0 - 1 Virtus Casarano. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Casarano?

The Serie C Group C match finished Potenza Calcio 3:1 Virtus Casarano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Casarano?

Potenza Calcio score 1.42 goals per game on average and Virtus Casarano 1.47. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Potenza Calcio's matches and 58% of Virtus Casarano's.

What form are Potenza Calcio and Virtus Casarano in?

Over the last 5 games Potenza Calcio have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Virtus Casarano 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Casarano?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Potenza Calcio vs Virtus Casarano: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.