Považská Bystrica vs Tatran Prešov: match statistics

Považská Bystrica have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals, while Tatran Prešov have recorded 2 wins and scored 6. At home, the hosts win 83% of their matches and average 2.33 goals, whereas the visitors concede an average of 1.67 goals away from home. The hosts’ advantage in chance creation is reflected in their home xG of 1.69, compared with Tatran’s away xG of 1.45; moreover, the visitors allow opponents chances worth an average xG of 1.75. A bet on a home win is not without risk, however, as the hosts concede an average of 1.5 goals at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet there, while Tatran average 1.5 goals away from home.

BTTS landed in 60% of Považská Bystrica’s home matches and 67% of Tatran Prešov’s away matches, both above the league average of 55%. The hosts conceded an average of 1.2 goals at home and failed to keep a clean sheet, while the visitors scored an average of 1.5 goals away and never finished a match without scoring. On the other hand, Tatran conceded an average of 1.67 goals away, while Považská Bystrica recorded an xG of 1.84 at home and averaged 7.4 shots on target. Some caution is warranted, as the hosts failed to score in 40% of their home matches and the visitors kept a clean sheet in 33% of their away games. Nevertheless, BTTS landed in each of the hosts’ last five matches, and combined with both teams’ attacking figures, this supports a BTTS - Yes pick.

Považská Bystrica average 1.2 goals at home, while Tatran Prešov concede 1.67 goals away; the hosts also create chances worth an average of 1.84 xG, compared with 1.75 xG conceded by the visitors. Tatran average 1.5 goals scored away, while the hosts concede 1.2 goals at home and have not kept a clean sheet there. Považská Bystrica’s last 5 matches averaged 4.4 goals, and each finished Over 2.5 goals, although the hosts have gone Over 1.5 goals in only 60% of their home matches. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the strongest pick: a projected 3.05 goals gives this line a greater margin than the more demanding Over 2.5 goals.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Považská Bystrica were level at the break in 40% of their matches, compared with 67% for Tatran Prešov, whose away side average just 0.17 goals before half-time. After the break, the hosts are more likely to decide the match, having won 4 of their last 5 games, while the visitors have won 2 of 5. Považská Bystrica are also favoured by their higher attacking xG, 1.84 compared with 1.45, and an average of 7.4 shots on target per match against their opponents’ 4.83. The risk of an away win remains significant, as the visitors average 1.5 goals per game over the season compared with the hosts’ 1.2. However, the combination of frequent half-time draws and the hosts’ stronger recent form points to an X/1 HT/FT pick.