Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion: match statistics
Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Preston North End played West Bromwich Albion in Championship (England). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Preston North End: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. West Bromwich Albion: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Preston North End scores 1.19 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. West Bromwich Albion scores 1.00 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Preston North End 57%, West Bromwich Albion 52%. Over 2.5: Preston North End 45%, West Bromwich Albion 45%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
West Bromwich Albion has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.24. Preston North End: 10.7 shots per match, West Bromwich Albion: 13.6.
Match halves
Preston North End: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.62. West Bromwich Albion: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Preston North End: 76-90+ (11 goals). West Bromwich Albion: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back a home win because Preston averages 1.29 goals per home game with a 12% conversion rate, while West Brom only scores 0.81 away goals with about a 7% conversion. Preston has a lower home loss rate (29%) and wins 38% of home matches, whereas the visitors win just 19% away and lose 62%, giving a clear outcome advantage to the hosts. However, West Brom’s defense has looked better recently — the visitors conceded only 2 goals in their last five matches and average 1.8 points per game, while Preston conceded 7 and averages 1.6 points, so the away side is currently more solid at the back. Quality-of-chance analysis shows similar xG (Preston at home 1.30 vs WBA away 1.29) and comparable shot numbers (11.14 vs 11.81, shots on target 3.43 vs 3.48), but the hosts convert chances into goals far more efficiently (1.29 goals from 1.30 xG versus 0.81 from 1.29 xG for West Brom). Considering the hosts’ superior finishing and lower share of scoreless games (24% vs 38%), I give Preston the edge and assess probabilities as 55% for 1, 25% for draw, and 20% for 2.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors a Both Teams To Score outcome in this match: Preston has a season BTTS rate of 57% and BTTS in the last 5 matches of 80%, while West Brom has a season BTTS of 48% and only 20% in the last 5. The home side creates more chances (seasonal xG 1.64 vs 1.29 for West Brom, averaging 4.48 on-target shots vs 3.48), which increases the likelihood of Preston scoring. Counterbalancing this is West Brom’s defensive form over the last 5 matches — conceding only 0.4 goals on average with an xG against of 1.01 — and the fact West Brom failed to score in 38% of league matches this season, which reduces BTTS probability. Considering Preston’s creative advantage and high season/recent BTTS for the hosts versus West Brom’s weaker attack, I assess the probability of BTTS at 58% (Yes) vs 42% (No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and defensive data I estimate total expected goals at around 2.68: Preston about 1.51 (average of 1.64 xG for and 1.38 xG against) and West Brom about 1.17 (average of 1.29 xG for and 1.04 xG against). A Poisson distribution with lambda=2.68 yields roughly a 75% chance of more than 1.5 goals, ~50% for over 2.5 and ~28% for over 3.5, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5. Additionally, Preston at home scores 1.19 goals on average, records 15.33 shots and 4.48 on target, and has a season Over 1.5 rate of 76%; West Brom away averages 0.81 goals, 11.81 shots and has 57% of matches >1.5. In the last 5 matches Preston scored 8 and conceded 7 (1.6/1.4 per game), while West Brom scored 6 and conceded 2 (1.2/0.4), showing short-term defensive differences, but the teams' xG (1.64 vs 1.29) suggests more scoring opportunities. Therefore I recommend betting Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side 'over') as the best option: ~75% probability and backed by both xG metrics and high seasonal percentages of matches with >0.5 goals (86% and 90%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 (Preston leads at the break and wins), because the home side led at the break in 43% of their home matches, while West Brom led at the break in only 19% of away games. Preston average 0.52 goals in the first half at home and concede 0.43, whereas the visitors average 0.43 and concede 0.76 in the first half, giving the hosts an advantage before the break. Over the full match the hosts have a higher xG of 1.64 versus the visitors’ 1.29, more shots 15.33 vs 11.81 and more shots on target 4.48 vs 3.48, confirming an offensive edge. Additionally, seasonal average points 1.43 vs 0.76 and a higher home win rate of 33% versus the visitors’ 19% support the case for a full-time win for the hosts. Therefore 1/1 is the strongest signal (approx. 31%), while scenarios X/X (approx. 20%) and X/1 (approx. 11%) are secondary due to frequent half-time draws (approx. 38%) and a moderate chance of a turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Preston North End | West Bromwich Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
West Bromwich Albion is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Preston North End · 1.8 pts / match - West Bromwich Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Preston North End is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.19 goals / match - Preston North End · 1 goals / match - West Bromwich Albion
Preston North End is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Preston North End · 1.33 goals / match - West Bromwich Albion
Preston North End scores in 74% of matches (31 of 42 matches), while West Bromwich Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (11 of 42 matches).
West Bromwich Albion scores in 67% of matches (28 of 42 matches), while Preston North End keeps a clean sheet in 21% (9 of 42 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Preston North End
Over / Under - West Bromwich Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Preston North End - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
West Bromwich Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Preston North End
West Bromwich Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Preston North End | Liga | West Bromwich Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 2.56 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 49% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 25% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Preston North End 0 - 0 - 1 West Bromwich Albion. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion?
The Championship match finished Preston North End 0:2 West Bromwich Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion?
Preston North End score 1.19 goals per game on average and West Bromwich Albion 1.00. The Championship average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Preston North End's matches and 52% of West Bromwich Albion's.
What form are Preston North End and West Bromwich Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Preston North End have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and West Bromwich Albion 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion?
The statistical background for Preston North End vs West Bromwich Albion — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.