Pro Patria vs Arzignano Valchiampo: match statistics
Pro Patria vs Arzignano Valchiampo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pro Patria played Arzignano Valchiampo in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Pro Patria: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Arzignano Valchiampo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pro Patria scores 0.86 and concedes 1.81 goals per match. Arzignano Valchiampo scores 1.22 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pro Patria 50%, Arzignano Valchiampo 56%. Over 2.5: Pro Patria 56%, Arzignano Valchiampo 53%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Arzignano Valchiampo has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.22. Pro Patria: 9.4 shots per match, Arzignano Valchiampo: 10.7.
Match halves
Pro Patria: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.61. Arzignano Valchiampo: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Pro Patria: 46-60 (9 goals). Arzignano Valchiampo: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.32 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Arzignano Valchiampo are the favorites — they sit 11th vs Pro Patria in 20th and have a markedly better run: 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 (2.6 points per game) vs Pro Patria’s 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses at home (0.8 pts/game). Although Pro Patria scored 7 goals in their last 5 matches vs Arzignano’s 5, the hosts conceded 10 goals in that period (2.0 per game), while Arzignano conceded only 1. At home Pro Patria have 31 goals this season, averaging 0.83 goals per game, and concede 1.94 per game with a goal difference of -20, whereas Arzignano average 1.22 goals away and concede 1.28 per game. The visitors are also more efficient with shots: 3.83 shots on target per game and 12% conversion vs 3.11 and 8% for the hosts, and xG shows a slight edge for the visitors (1.32 vs 1.28). Given the clear gap in form, the lower share of matches without scoring for the visitors (22% vs 44%) and Pro Patria’s weak defense, I predict an Arzignano win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Pro Patria has a seasonal BTTS rate of 61% and has conceded 65 goals this season (1.28 per match); in the last 5 home games they conceded 10 goals (2.0 per match) and show 80% BTTS in that sample, indicating defensive vulnerability. Arzignano has a seasonal BTTS of 50% and only 20% BTTS in the last 5 matches, with a record of 5 goals scored and 1 conceded (0.2 per match), i.e. 4 clean sheets in 5 games, demonstrating strong defensive form. Both teams have similar attacking outputs: offensive xG 1.37 (Pro Patria) vs 1.32 (Arzignano) and on average 4.06 and 3.83 shots on target, so scoring opportunities from both sides are realistic. Considering Pro Patria’s high 61% season BTTS and 80% in the last 5, combined with similar xG for both teams, I favor the "both teams to score" scenario and tip BTTS - Yes (60%) vs No (40%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams average 1.22 goals per match, with xG of 1.37 (Pro Patria) and 1.32 (Arzignano). Using the hosts' attacking average (1.37 xG) against the visitors' defensive xG conceded (1.57) I estimate 1.47 expected goals for Pro Patria, and similarly 1.36 for Arzignano (1.32 vs 1.39), totaling 2.83 goals. At this xG level the probability of Over 1.5 goals is roughly 77%, Over 2.5 around 54% and Over 3.5 about 32%, which aligns with seasonal indicators (Over1.5: 67% home and 61% away; Over2.5: 50%/56%). Additionally Pro Patria have conceded 65 goals this season, and BTTS stands at 61%/50%, further supporting a scenario with at least two goals. Based on this, the strongest play is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I forecast a Half-Time draw and an away win (X/2). Arzignano is in markedly better form: over the last five matches they have an 80% win rate versus Pro Patria’s 20%, and in first halves during this period they average 1.6 points compared to 0.4 for the home side. The visitors are stronger after the break — they average 1.17 points in second halves versus 0.78 for the hosts and score 0.67 goals after halftime compared to the hosts’ 0.5, while Pro Patria concedes 0.94 goals on average after the break. The first half should be balanced (average goals to halftime 1.06 for the home team vs 1.11 for the visitors, with comparable xG: 1.37 vs 1.32), which increases the likelihood of an HT draw. Additionally, season-long metrics confirm the visitors’ edge (wins 44% vs 28% for the home side), hence X/2 is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pro Patria | Arzignano Valchiampo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Arzignano Valchiampo is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Pro Patria · 2.6 pts / match - Arzignano Valchiampo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arzignano Valchiampo is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Pro Patria · 1.22 goals / match - Arzignano Valchiampo
Arzignano Valchiampo is 41% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.81 goals / match - Pro Patria · 1.28 goals / match - Arzignano Valchiampo
Pro Patria scores in 56% of matches (20 of 36 matches), while Arzignano Valchiampo keeps a clean sheet in 28% (10 of 36 matches).
Arzignano Valchiampo scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Pro Patria keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pro Patria
Over / Under - Arzignano Valchiampo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arzignano Valchiampo is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / match - Pro Patria · 1.64 pts / match - Arzignano Valchiampo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pro Patria - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Arzignano Valchiampo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 36%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pro Patria
Arzignano Valchiampo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Pro Patria | Liga | Arzignano Valchiampo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.32 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 42% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 66% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 72% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pro Patria 0 - 0 - 1 Arzignano Valchiampo. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pro Patria vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
The Serie C Group A match finished Pro Patria 2:3 Arzignano Valchiampo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pro Patria vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
Pro Patria score 0.86 goals per game on average and Arzignano Valchiampo 1.22. The Serie C Group A average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Pro Patria's matches and 56% of Arzignano Valchiampo's.
What form are Pro Patria and Arzignano Valchiampo in?
Over the last 5 games Pro Patria have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Arzignano Valchiampo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pro Patria vs Arzignano Valchiampo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.