Pro Patria vs Cittadella: match statistics
Cittadella clearly outperforms Pro Patria in terms of form and statistics. The hosts have won just 8% of their home matches this season, carrying a poor goal difference (-18) and an alarming 62% loss rate at their own stadium. Cittadella demonstrates significantly better efficiency in away matches with 46% wins and solid xG (1.47), indicating a real offensive advantage. Pro Patria has failed to score in 62% of home fixtures, while the guests keep a clean sheet in 38% of away matches. The form over the last five games also speaks in favor of Cittadella (0.8 PPG vs 0.2 PPG). Considering all parameters, a victory for the visitors is the most likely scenario for this encounter.
Pro Patria vs Cittadella: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pro Patria played Cittadella in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 11 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Pro Patria: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Cittadella: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pro Patria scores 0.72 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Cittadella scores 1.12 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.26 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pro Patria 44%, Cittadella 44%. Over 2.5: Pro Patria 60%, Cittadella 36%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Cittadella has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.15. Pro Patria: 8.8 shots per match, Cittadella: 11.3.
Match halves
Pro Patria: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.52. Cittadella: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Pro Patria: 46-60 (6 goals). Cittadella: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.26 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cittadella clearly outperforms Pro Patria in terms of form and statistics. The hosts have won just 8% of their home matches this season, carrying a poor goal difference (-18) and an alarming 62% loss rate at their own stadium. Cittadella demonstrates significantly better efficiency in away matches with 46% wins and solid xG (1.47), indicating a real offensive advantage. Pro Patria has failed to score in 62% of home fixtures, while the guests keep a clean sheet in 38% of away matches. The form over the last five games also speaks in favor of Cittadella (0.8 PPG vs 0.2 PPG). Considering all parameters, a victory for the visitors is the most likely scenario for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pro Patria | Cittadella | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cittadella is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Pro Patria · 0.8 pts / match - Cittadella
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cittadella is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
0.72 goals / match - Pro Patria · 1.12 goals / match - Cittadella
Cittadella is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.88 goals / match - Pro Patria · 1.04 goals / match - Cittadella
Pro Patria scores in 48% of matches (12 of 25 matches), while Cittadella keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
Cittadella scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Pro Patria keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pro Patria
Over / Under - Cittadella
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cittadella is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.72 pts / match - Pro Patria · 1.08 pts / match - Cittadella
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pro Patria - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cittadella - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -8 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pro Patria
Cittadella
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Pro Patria | Liga | Cittadella | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.26 | • 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 40% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 30% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 66% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pro Patria 0 - 1 - 0 Cittadella. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pro Patria vs Cittadella?
The Serie C Group A match finished Pro Patria 1:0 Cittadella. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pro Patria vs Cittadella?
Pro Patria score 0.72 goals per game on average and Cittadella 1.12. The Serie C Group A average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Pro Patria's matches and 44% of Cittadella's.
What form are Pro Patria and Cittadella in?
Over the last 5 games Pro Patria have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Cittadella 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pro Patria vs Cittadella?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.