Pro Patria vs Lecco: match statistics
Lecco is displaying significantly better form and quality this season. The visitors have an impressive record of 47% away wins and a positive goal difference (+5), while Pro Patria wins only 13% of their home games with a disastrous -17 goal difference. The hosts have not won any of their last five matches and fail to score in 50% of their home games. Lecco boasts a much better conversion rate (13% shot conversion vs 8% for Pro Patria) and a higher average ball possession (52% vs 47%). xG statistics also favor the visitors, who also keep clean sheets in 40% of their away matches. Considering Lecco's qualitative and form advantage, as well as the hosts' weakness, an away win is the most likely scenario.
Pro Patria vs Lecco: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pro Patria played Lecco in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Pro Patria: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Lecco: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pro Patria scores 0.75 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Lecco scores 1.13 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pro Patria 44%, Lecco 34%. Over 2.5: Pro Patria 53%, Lecco 28%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Lecco has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.19. Pro Patria: 9.3 shots per match, Lecco: 9.8.
Match halves
Pro Patria: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.50. Lecco: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Pro Patria: 46-60 (9 goals). Lecco: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lecco is displaying significantly better form and quality this season. The visitors have an impressive record of 47% away wins and a positive goal difference (+5), while Pro Patria wins only 13% of their home games with a disastrous -17 goal difference. The hosts have not won any of their last five matches and fail to score in 50% of their home games. Lecco boasts a much better conversion rate (13% shot conversion vs 8% for Pro Patria) and a higher average ball possession (52% vs 47%). xG statistics also favor the visitors, who also keep clean sheets in 40% of their away matches. Considering Lecco's qualitative and form advantage, as well as the hosts' weakness, an away win is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pro Patria | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lecco is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Pro Patria · 1 pts / match - Lecco
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lecco is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
0.75 goals / match - Pro Patria · 1.13 goals / match - Lecco
Lecco is 116% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Pro Patria · 0.81 goals / match - Lecco
Pro Patria scores in 50% of matches (16 of 32 matches), while Lecco keeps a clean sheet in 44% (14 of 32 matches).
Lecco scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Pro Patria keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pro Patria
Over / Under - Lecco
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lecco is 109% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - Pro Patria · 1.69 pts / match - Lecco
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pro Patria - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lecco - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pro Patria
Lecco
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Pro Patria | Liga | Lecco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.27 | ▼ 1.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 49% | ▼ 34% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 41% | ▼ 28% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 30% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 65% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pro Patria 0 - 0 - 1 Lecco. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pro Patria vs Lecco?
The Serie C Group A match finished Pro Patria 1:4 Lecco. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pro Patria vs Lecco?
Pro Patria score 0.75 goals per game on average and Lecco 1.13. The Serie C Group A average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Pro Patria's matches and 34% of Lecco's.
What form are Pro Patria and Lecco in?
Over the last 5 games Pro Patria have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Lecco 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pro Patria vs Lecco?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pro Patria vs Lecco: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.