Pro Vercelli vs Athletic Carpi: match statistics
Pro Vercelli vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pro Vercelli played Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Silvio Piola. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Pro Vercelli: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Athletic Carpi: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pro Vercelli scores 0.86 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Athletic Carpi scores 1.43 and concedes 2.14. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pro Vercelli 57%, Athletic Carpi 71%. Over 2.5: Pro Vercelli 43%, Athletic Carpi 86%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Pro Vercelli has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.39. Pro Vercelli: 12.3 shots per match, Athletic Carpi: 9.6.
Match halves
Pro Vercelli: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.57. Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.29.
Goals by minute
Pro Vercelli: 61-75 (3 goals). Athletic Carpi: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pro Vercelli have a slight home advantage: across three home matches, they have recorded one win and two draws, while Athletic Carpi have managed one win, one draw and one defeat away from home. Both teams average 1.33 goals scored in these conditions, but the hosts concede 1.00 goal per match compared with 1.67 for the visitors. Pro Vercelli also threaten the opposition goal more often at home, averaging 5.33 shots on target compared with Athletic Carpi’s 4.33 away, while their xG stands at 1.65 against their opponents’ 1.46. However, the edge is not substantial: both sides have won just one of their last five matches and conceded 9 goals apiece over that period. A home win therefore looks the most likely outcome, although a draw remains a realistic possibility.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 75% of Pro Vercelli matches and 67% of Athletic Carpi matches, compared with a league average of 49%, pointing towards goals for both teams. The hosts concede an average of 2.5 goals and have yet to keep a clean sheet, while the visitors score an average of 1.33 goals and have found the net in every match so far. Pro Vercelli, in turn, average 1.5 goals with an xG of 1.42, while Athletic Carpi concede an average of 1.67 goals and have an xG conceded of 1.65. Over their last five matches, both teams conceded an average of 1.8 goals, and both sides scored in 60% of those games. The risk to the BTTS - Yes pick is that the hosts have failed to score in 25% of their matches; however, the overall attacking and defensive profiles of both teams point more clearly to goals at both ends.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Pro Vercelli matches have averaged 4.0 goals, while Athletic Carpi fixtures have averaged 3.0, compared with a league average of just 2.21. The hosts concede an average of 2.5 goals per game and the visitors 1.67, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring. The xG data supports this outlook: Pro Vercelli create chances worth an average of 1.42 goals, while Athletic Carpi generate 1.46. Over their last five matches, both teams have conceded 1.8 goals per game and gone Over 2.5 goals in 60% and 80% of their fixtures, respectively. However, Over 1.5 goals remains the strongest pick: this line has been cleared in every home match and in 67% of the visitors’ matches, while higher lines carry significantly more risk.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Pro Vercelli led at the break in 3 of their 4 home matches, while Athletic Carpi were ahead after 45 minutes in just 1 of their 3 away games, making a home lead at half-time a plausible scenario. However, whether they can hold on until the final whistle is questionable: Pro Vercelli won none of those 4 matches, with 2 ending in draws. After the break, the hosts average just 0.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, which favors a turnaround by their opponents. Athletic Carpi concede an average of 0.67 goals in the second halves of away games, so I rate a draw after Pro Vercelli have led slightly more highly than either team winning in this HT/FT scenario. The edge for this outcome is small, particularly as the data covers only 4 of the hosts’ home matches and 3 of the visitors’ away games.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pro Vercelli | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Athletic Carpi is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Pro Vercelli · 1.43 goals / match - Athletic Carpi
Pro Vercelli is 36% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Pro Vercelli · 2.14 goals / match - Athletic Carpi
Pro Vercelli scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Athletic Carpi scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Pro Vercelli keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pro Vercelli
Over / Under - Athletic Carpi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Athletic Carpi is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Pro Vercelli · 1.86 pts / match - Athletic Carpi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pro Vercelli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pro Vercelli
Athletic Carpi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Pro Vercelli | Liga | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.43 | 2.25 | ▲ 3.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 50% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 47% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 34% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | • 57% | 56% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 68% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Pro Vercelli vs Athletic Carpi?
The Serie C Group A match finished Pro Vercelli 2:0 Athletic Carpi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pro Vercelli vs Athletic Carpi?
Pro Vercelli score 0.86 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 1.43. The Serie C Group A average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Pro Vercelli's matches and 71% of Athletic Carpi's.
What form are Pro Vercelli and Athletic Carpi in?
Over the last 5 games Pro Vercelli have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pro Vercelli vs Athletic Carpi?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pro Vercelli vs Athletic Carpi: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.