Pro Vercelli vs Desenzano Calvina: match statistics

Both teams have scored 3 goals in their last 5 matches, suggesting a game with a limited number of clear-cut chances. Desenzano Calvina, however, have shown a significantly more solid defensive structure, conceding just 3 goals compared with Pro Vercelli’s 8. The visitors have lost 2 of their last five matches and drawn 2, while the hosts have suffered 3 defeats over the same period. Desenzano Calvina have averaged 1 point per match across their last five league fixtures, compared with 0.8 for Pro Vercelli. Therefore, with both teams showing similar attacking output, the visitors should be given the edge. A draw remains a realistic outcome due to the low goal production of both sides.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Pro Vercelli and Desenzano Calvina have scored an average of just 0.6 goals each in their last five matches, totaling only 3 goals apiece. BTTS occurred in 40% of the hosts’ matches and just 20% of the visitors’ games during this period, significantly reducing the chances of both teams scoring. Desenzano Calvina conceded an average of only 0.6 goals per match and allowed just 3 goals across five appearances, while Pro Vercelli scored only 3 goals during the same period. The hosts are less defensively stable, with an average of 1.6 goals conceded, but their attacking struggles make it more likely that at least one team will fail to score.

The available data from the last five matches points to limited attacking efficiency from both teams: Pro Vercelli and Desenzano have each scored 0.6 goals per game. Desenzano conceded just 3 goals during this period, or 0.6 per match, and none of the team’s five games featured more than 2 goals. Pro Vercelli conceded more, averaging 1.6 goals, but despite an xG of 1.74, they scored only 3 goals in five appearances, indicating clear finishing problems. Matches involving the two teams went Over 2.5 goals in 40% and 0% of cases, respectively, making Under 3.5 goals the most stable selection. The projected total of 2.00 goals leaves some room for an open game but does not support a scenario featuring four or more goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time, as Desenzano were level at the break in 50% of their last five matches, compared with 40% for Pro Vercelli. The hosts failed to score a single goal before half-time during this period, while the visitors averaged just 0.25 goals, clearly supporting a cautious and evenly matched start. Desenzano conceded only 0.25 goals per match before the break and kept a clean sheet in 75% of first halves, so Pro Vercelli may struggle to take the lead. After the interval, the hosts averaged 0.6 goals, while the visitors failed to score, but Desenzano recorded draws in 40% of their last five matches, meaning the most likely outcome remains a share of the points.