Pro Vercelli vs Novara: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced match with a slight edge for a draw. Pro Vercelli shows solid home form with a 50% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+3), however their recent form is concerning (only 1 point per game in the last 5 matches). Novara is characterized by an exceptional tendency to draw away from home – as many as 82% of matches end in a share of points, which is a key indicator. The visitors have a balanced goal difference away (0) and decent recent form (1.2 points per game). Pro Vercelli has an advantage in ball possession (55% vs 44%) and xG (1.55 vs 1.23), but low efficiency (9%) and poor recent form (2 draws, 2 losses, 1 win) suggest difficulties in securing three points. Considering the defensive stability of both teams and Novara's clear tendency to draw, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Pro Vercelli vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pro Vercelli played Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Pro Vercelli: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Novara: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pro Vercelli scores 1.04 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Novara scores 0.96 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pro Vercelli 39%, Novara 57%. Over 2.5: Pro Vercelli 43%, Novara 26%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
Pro Vercelli has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.39. Pro Vercelli: 11.7 shots per match, Novara: 11.1.
Match halves
Pro Vercelli: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.57. Novara: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Pro Vercelli: 76-90+ (7 goals). Novara: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced match with a slight edge for a draw. Pro Vercelli shows solid home form with a 50% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+3), however their recent form is concerning (only 1 point per game in the last 5 matches). Novara is characterized by an exceptional tendency to draw away from home – as many as 82% of matches end in a share of points, which is a key indicator. The visitors have a balanced goal difference away (0) and decent recent form (1.2 points per game). Pro Vercelli has an advantage in ball possession (55% vs 44%) and xG (1.55 vs 1.23), but low efficiency (9%) and poor recent form (2 draws, 2 losses, 1 win) suggest difficulties in securing three points. Considering the defensive stability of both teams and Novara's clear tendency to draw, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pro Vercelli | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Novara is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Pro Vercelli · 1.2 pts / match - Novara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pro Vercelli is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.04 goals / match - Pro Vercelli · 0.96 goals / match - Novara
Novara is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Pro Vercelli · 1 goals / match - Novara
Pro Vercelli scores in 61% of matches (14 of 23 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Novara scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Pro Vercelli keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pro Vercelli
Over / Under - Novara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novara is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Pro Vercelli · 1.35 pts / match - Novara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pro Vercelli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Novara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pro Vercelli
Novara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Pro Vercelli | Liga | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.48 | 2.27 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 50% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 43% | 40% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 30% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 66% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Pro Vercelli 1 - 0 - 0 Novara. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pro Vercelli vs Novara?
The Serie C Group A match finished Pro Vercelli 1:0 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Pro Vercelli vs Novara?
Pro Vercelli score 1.04 goals per game on average and Novara 0.96. The Serie C Group A average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Pro Vercelli's matches and 57% of Novara's.
What form are Pro Vercelli and Novara in?
Over the last 5 games Pro Vercelli have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Novara 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pro Vercelli vs Novara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.