Pro Vercelli vs Pro Patria: match statistics
Pro Vercelli displays significantly better home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium, while Pro Patria holds just an 11% away win rate. The hosts stand out with a much higher average xG (1.67 vs 1.01) and superior offensive efficiency, averaging 1.3 goals per home match compared to the visitors' 0.67 on the road. Pro Patria suffers from very poor away form, marked by a 67% loss rate and a goal difference of -8, which further diminishes their chances. Despite both teams struggling with form in their last five matches, the hosts' advantage in home statistics is clear. The possession balance (55% vs 49%) and a significantly higher average of shots on target (4.2 vs 2.0) further support a victory for Pro Vercelli.
Pro Vercelli vs Pro Patria: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Pro Vercelli played Pro Patria in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Pro Vercelli: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Pro Patria: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Pro Vercelli scores 1.05 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Pro Patria scores 0.74 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Pro Vercelli 37%, Pro Patria 42%. Over 2.5: Pro Vercelli 42%, Pro Patria 53%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Pro Vercelli has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.12. Pro Vercelli: 12.8 shots per match, Pro Patria: 8.7.
Match halves
Pro Vercelli: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.53. Pro Patria: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Pro Vercelli: 76-90+ (6 goals). Pro Patria: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.22 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Pro Vercelli displays significantly better home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium, while Pro Patria holds just an 11% away win rate. The hosts stand out with a much higher average xG (1.67 vs 1.01) and superior offensive efficiency, averaging 1.3 goals per home match compared to the visitors' 0.67 on the road. Pro Patria suffers from very poor away form, marked by a 67% loss rate and a goal difference of -8, which further diminishes their chances. Despite both teams struggling with form in their last five matches, the hosts' advantage in home statistics is clear. The possession balance (55% vs 49%) and a significantly higher average of shots on target (4.2 vs 2.0) further support a victory for Pro Vercelli.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Pro Vercelli | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Pro Vercelli is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Pro Vercelli · 0.6 pts / match - Pro Patria
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pro Vercelli is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Pro Vercelli · 0.74 goals / match - Pro Patria
Pro Vercelli is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Pro Vercelli · 1.63 goals / match - Pro Patria
Pro Vercelli scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Pro Patria keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Pro Patria scores in 47% of matches (9 of 19 matches), while Pro Vercelli keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Pro Vercelli
Over / Under - Pro Patria
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pro Vercelli is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Pro Vercelli · 0.89 pts / match - Pro Patria
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Pro Vercelli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Pro Patria - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Pro Vercelli
Pro Patria
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Pro Vercelli | Liga | Pro Patria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.58 | 2.22 | ▲ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 48% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 38% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 31% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 89% | 66% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Pro Vercelli 2 - 0 - 1 Pro Patria. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Pro Vercelli vs Pro Patria?
The Serie C Group A match finished Pro Vercelli 1:0 Pro Patria. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Pro Vercelli and Pro Patria?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Pro Vercelli won 2, Pro Patria won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Pro Vercelli vs Pro Patria?
Pro Vercelli score 1.05 goals per game on average and Pro Patria 0.74. The Serie C Group A average is 2.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Pro Vercelli's matches and 42% of Pro Patria's.
What form are Pro Vercelli and Pro Patria in?
Over the last 5 games Pro Vercelli have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Pro Patria 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Pro Vercelli vs Pro Patria?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Pro Vercelli vs Pro Patria: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.