Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane: match statistics

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer are in excellent form: they have recorded 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches and remain unbeaten. During this period, the hosts scored 12 goals—an average of 2.4 per match—while conceding just 3. Jeunesse Sportive Omrane have failed to win any of their last five matches, recording only 2 draws and suffering 3 defeats. The visitors scored just 4 goals and conceded 7, clearly highlighting their inferior attacking efficiency compared with the hosts. The difference in current form, goal difference and consistency of results strongly favors a Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer victory.

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Jeunesse Sportive Omrane’s limited attacking potential: over their last 5 matches, they have averaged just 0.8 goals, with an xG of only 0.59. Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer are also in very good defensive form, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match during this period and allowing opponents an xG of 0.85. The hosts have scored 12 goals in their last five matches and created chances worth 1.98 xG per game, making it more likely that they will provide the goals in this fixture. Although both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of their last five appearances, the clear disparity between the visitors’ attack and the hosts’ defence increases the likelihood that at least one team will fail to score.

Recent form clearly favors the home side: across their last five matches, they averaged 2.4 goals scored, compared with just 0.8 for the visitors. The quality-of-chances data is equally significant, with the home team posting an average xG of 1.98, while the opposition defense allowed 1.79 xG per match. However, the home side conceded just 0.6 goals per game, and the visitors’ attack generated only 0.59 xG, limiting the projected away-goal tally to around 0.72. Despite the home team’s advantage, only 40% of each side’s last five matches went Over 2.5 goals, meaning a four-goal-or-more scenario is not the base case. The estimated total of 2.60 goals provides the strongest signal for Under 3.5 goals, with a probability of 73%.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer remain unbeaten in their last five matches, winning 60% and drawing 40%, while Jeunesse Sportive Omrane have failed to win any of their games, losing 60% of them. During this period, the hosts averaged 2.4 goals scored and conceded just 0.6 per match, compared with 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded by the visitors. Progrès held a lead at the break in 50% of their recent matches and averaged 1.5 first-half goals, whereas Omrane never went into half-time ahead and were trailing at the break in 40% of their games. After the interval, the hosts conceded no goals on average, further supporting the scenario of maintaining any potential lead until full-time. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is 1/1, with Progrès leading at half-time and winning after 90 minutes.