Progreso vs Albion: match statistics
Albion appears to be the clear favorite for this meeting. Progreso is displaying alarming form with a 0% win rate at home, 100% of matches without a goal scored at their own stadium, and a home goal difference of -4. The hosts have not scored a single goal in home matches this season, confirming their immense offensive struggles. Conversely, Albion demonstrates significantly better organization, particularly in defense—maintaining 100% clean sheets away and a possession advantage (57% vs 47%). xG metrics also favor the visitors (1.18 xG For vs 0.78 xG Against), while Progreso has a much poorer record (0.83 xG For vs 1.73 xG Against). Given the dramatic weakness of the hosts and the defensive solidity and superior quality of Albion, a victory for the guests is the most probable scenario, although a draw remains a viable option.
Progreso vs Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Progreso played Albion in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Progreso: 0-1-3, 0.25 points/match. Albion: 1-1-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Progreso scores 0.50 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Albion scores 1.25 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Progreso 25%, Albion 50%. Over 2.5: Progreso 50%, Albion 75%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Albion has higher xG: 1.30 vs 0.90. Progreso: 6.8 shots per match, Albion: 9.5.
Match halves
Progreso: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.25. Albion: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Progreso: 31-45+ (1 goals). Albion: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Albion appears to be the clear favorite for this meeting. Progreso is displaying alarming form with a 0% win rate at home, 100% of matches without a goal scored at their own stadium, and a home goal difference of -4. The hosts have not scored a single goal in home matches this season, confirming their immense offensive struggles. Conversely, Albion demonstrates significantly better organization, particularly in defense—maintaining 100% clean sheets away and a possession advantage (57% vs 47%). xG metrics also favor the visitors (1.18 xG For vs 0.78 xG Against), while Progreso has a much poorer record (0.83 xG For vs 1.73 xG Against). Given the dramatic weakness of the hosts and the defensive solidity and superior quality of Albion, a victory for the guests is the most probable scenario, although a draw remains a viable option.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Progreso | Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Albion is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.25 pts / match - Progreso · 1 pts / match - Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Albion is 150% better for: goals scored per match.
0.5 goals / match - Progreso · 1.25 goals / match - Albion
Albion is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Progreso · 1.25 goals / match - Albion
Progreso scores in 25% of matches (1 of 4 matches), while Albion keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Albion scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Progreso
Over / Under - Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Albion is 400% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.25 pts / match - Progreso · 1.25 pts / match - Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Progreso - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 25% |
| No goal | 75% | 75% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Progreso
Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Progreso | Liga | Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.39 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 29% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Progreso vs Albion?
The Primera División match finished Progreso 2:2 Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Progreso vs Albion?
Progreso score 0.50 goals per game on average and Albion 1.25. The Primera División average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Progreso's matches and 50% of Albion's.
What form are Progreso and Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Progreso have a 0-1-3 record (0.25 points per game) and Albion 1-1-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Progreso vs Albion?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.