Progreso vs Central Español: match statistics
Central Español has been in better form over the last five matches, averaging 1.4 points per game compared to just 0.8 for Progreso. The visitors have won two of their last five games, while the hosts have recorded only one victory. Progreso has a very poor defense, conceding a total of 12 goals in their last five matches, averaging 2.4 goals conceded per game. Central Español, while scoring only 3 goals in their last five outings, conceded just 4, demonstrating better defensive stability. The goal difference clearly favors the visitors (3:4 vs 5:12), which, combined with their superior points form, gives them the edge in this encounter.
Progreso vs Central Español: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Progreso play Central Español in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 7 February 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Progreso: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Central Español: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Progreso scores 0.81 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Central Español scores 1.29 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Progreso 43%, Central Español 52%. Over 2.5: Progreso 43%, Central Español 52%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Central Español has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.16. Progreso: 8.5 shots per match, Central Español: 9.6.
Match halves
Progreso: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.43. Central Español: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Progreso: 76-90+ (6 goals). Central Español: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Central Español has been in better form over the last five matches, averaging 1.4 points per game compared to just 0.8 for Progreso. The visitors have won two of their last five games, while the hosts have recorded only one victory. Progreso has a very poor defense, conceding a total of 12 goals in their last five matches, averaging 2.4 goals conceded per game. Central Español, while scoring only 3 goals in their last five outings, conceded just 4, demonstrating better defensive stability. The goal difference clearly favors the visitors (3:4 vs 5:12), which, combined with their superior points form, gives them the edge in this encounter.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Progreso | Central Español | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Progreso is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Progreso · 1 pts / match - Central Español
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Central Español is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
0.81 goals / match - Progreso · 1.29 goals / match - Central Español
Central Español is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Progreso · 1.24 goals / match - Central Español
Progreso scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Central Español keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Central Español scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Progreso
Over / Under — Central Español
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Central Español is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Progreso · 1.05 pts / match - Central Español
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Central Español - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Progreso
Central Español
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Progreso | Liga | Central Español | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.33 | 2.39 | ▲ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 45% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
FAQ
What was the result of Progreso vs Central Español?
The Primera División match finished Progreso 0:3 Central Español. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Progreso vs Central Español?
Progreso score 0.81 goals per game on average and Central Español 1.29. The Primera División average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Progreso's matches and 52% of Central Español's.
What form are Progreso and Central Español in?
Over the last 5 games Progreso have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Central Español 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Progreso vs Central Español?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.