Progreso vs Juventud: match statistics
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Progreso vs Juventud: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Progreso play Juventud in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Parque Abraham Paladino.
Current form
Progreso: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Juventud: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Progreso scores 0.88 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Juventud scores 1.16 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.37 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Progreso 47%, Juventud 56%. Over 2.5: Progreso 44%, Juventud 44%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Juventud has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.18. Progreso: 8.7 shots per match, Juventud: 10.5.
Match halves
Progreso: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.50. Juventud: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Progreso: 76-90+ (11 goals). Juventud: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-4. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 40%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Progreso | Juventud | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Juventud is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Progreso · 1.8 pts / match - Juventud
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Juventud is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Progreso · 1.16 goals / match - Juventud
Juventud is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Progreso · 1.22 goals / match - Juventud
Progreso scores in 59% of matches (19 of 32 matches), while Juventud keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
Juventud scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Progreso
Over / Under - Juventud
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Juventud is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Progreso · 1.5 pts / match - Juventud
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Juventud - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Progreso
Juventud
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Progreso | Liga | Juventud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.34 | 2.37 | • 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 51% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 44% | 44% | • 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 29% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 67% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Progreso 0 - 1 - 4 Juventud. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
When do Progreso and Juventud play?
Progreso face Juventud on 17 October 2026 in Primera División at Parque Abraham Paladino. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Progreso and Juventud?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Progreso won 0, Juventud won 4 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Progreso vs Juventud?
Progreso score 0.88 goals per game on average and Juventud 1.16. The Primera División average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Progreso's matches and 56% of Juventud's.
What form are Progreso and Juventud in?
Over the last 5 games Progreso have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Juventud 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Progreso vs Juventud?
The statistical background for Progreso vs Juventud — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.