Progreso vs Wanderers: match statistics
Progreso vs Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Progreso play Wanderers in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Progreso: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Wanderers: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Progreso scores 0.81 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Wanderers scores 1.24 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Progreso 43%, Wanderers 52%. Over 2.5: Progreso 43%, Wanderers 52%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Wanderers has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.16. Progreso: 8.5 shots per match, Wanderers: 10.4.
Match halves
Progreso: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.43. Wanderers: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Progreso: 76-90+ (6 goals). Wanderers: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I back a Wanderers win because Progreso have no home wins (0% win rate), score only 0.83 goals per game on average and failed to score in 67% of their home matches. The hosts concede 2.0 goals per home game and have a -7 goal difference at their stadium, while Wanderers concede 1.8 away and have a -4 goal difference, indicating a weaker defense at Progreso. Offensively the visitors create more: Wanderers average 12 shots and 3.4 on target per away match versus Progreso’s 8 shots and 2.83 on target, and xG 1.41 vs 1.13 suggests higher quality chances for the visitors. Form confirms Wanderers’ edge — they average 1.2 points per game in the last 5 matches, while Progreso average just 0.4 and have not won any of their last five. Given the higher away xG, greater shot volume and a much lower percentage of scoreless games for Wanderers (20% vs 67%), I predict a Wanderers victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Progreso | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wanderers is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Progreso · 2.2 pts / match - Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wanderers is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
0.81 goals / match - Progreso · 1.24 goals / match - Wanderers
Wanderers is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Progreso · 1.19 goals / match - Wanderers
Progreso scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
Wanderers scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Progreso
Over / Under — Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wanderers is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Progreso · 1.43 pts / match - Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Progreso
Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Progreso | Liga | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.33 | 2.41 | • 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 69% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Progreso 1 - 1 - 1 Wanderers. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Progreso vs Wanderers?
The Primera División match finished Progreso 2:1 Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Progreso and Wanderers?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Progreso won 1, Wanderers won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Progreso vs Wanderers?
Progreso score 0.81 goals per game on average and Wanderers 1.24. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Progreso's matches and 52% of Wanderers's.
What form are Progreso and Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Progreso have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Wanderers 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Progreso vs Wanderers?
The statistical background for Progreso vs Wanderers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.