PSG vs Lille: match statistics
As hosts, PSG displays impressive home form with 88% wins and only 13% draws, having remained unbeaten at home this season. Paris Saint-Germain dominates home matches, maintaining an average of 71% possession, scoring 2.38 goals per game, and keeping a clean sheet in 75% of matches. Lille, despite decent away form (50% win rate), has significant defensive issues on the road, conceding an average of 1.75 goals per match and failing to keep a clean sheet in 75% of away games. The difference in quality is confirmed by xG statistics, where PSG generates an average of 2.44 xG in home games, compared to Lille's 1.67 xG on the road. Recent form also favors the hosts, who have won four of their last five home matches, while Lille has lost three of their last five away games. Considering all these factors, a PSG victory is the most likely scenario, although Lille's solid offense suggests the hosts may not keep a clean sheet.
PSG vs Lille: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PSG play Lille in Ligue 1 (France). The match date is 16 January 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
PSG: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Lille: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
PSG scores 2.18 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Lille scores 1.53 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PSG 41%, Lille 38%. Over 2.5: PSG 62%, Lille 38%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
PSG has higher xG: 2.07 vs 1.60. PSG: 17.7 shots per match, Lille: 13.6.
Match halves
PSG: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.21. Lille: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
PSG: 76-90+ (18 goals). Lille: 76-90+ (23 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
As hosts, PSG displays impressive home form with 88% wins and only 13% draws, having remained unbeaten at home this season. Paris Saint-Germain dominates home matches, maintaining an average of 71% possession, scoring 2.38 goals per game, and keeping a clean sheet in 75% of matches. Lille, despite decent away form (50% win rate), has significant defensive issues on the road, conceding an average of 1.75 goals per match and failing to keep a clean sheet in 75% of away games. The difference in quality is confirmed by xG statistics, where PSG generates an average of 2.44 xG in home games, compared to Lille's 1.67 xG on the road. Recent form also favors the hosts, who have won four of their last five home matches, while Lille has lost three of their last five away games. Considering all these factors, a PSG victory is the most likely scenario, although Lille's solid offense suggests the hosts may not keep a clean sheet.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PSG | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PSG is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - PSG · 1.6 pts / match - Lille
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSG is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
2.18 goals / match - PSG · 1.53 goals / match - Lille
PSG is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - PSG · 1.09 goals / match - Lille
PSG scores in 94% of matches (32 of 34 matches), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
Lille scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while PSG keeps a clean sheet in 53% (18 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — PSG
Over / Under — Lille
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSG is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.91 pts / match - PSG · 1.38 pts / match - Lille
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSG - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lille - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (23 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +16 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PSG
Lille
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| PSG | Liga | Lille | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.03 | 2.83 | ▼ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: PSG 0 - 1 - 0 Lille. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PSG vs Lille?
The Ligue 1 match finished PSG 3:0 Lille. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSG vs Lille?
PSG score 2.18 goals per game on average and Lille 1.53. The Ligue 1 average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 41% of PSG's matches and 38% of Lille's.
What form are PSG and Lille in?
Over the last 5 games PSG have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Lille 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSG vs Lille?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.