PSG vs Nantes: match statistics
PSG vs Nantes: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PSG played Nantes in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 22 April 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
PSG: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Nantes: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
PSG scores 2.21 and concedes 0.89 goals per match. Nantes scores 0.86 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PSG 43%, Nantes 48%. Over 2.5: PSG 61%, Nantes 41%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
PSG has higher xG: 2.12 vs 1.13. PSG: 18.0 shots per match, Nantes: 10.6.
Match halves
PSG: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 1.25. Nantes: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.34.
Goals by minute
PSG: 76-90+ (16 goals). Nantes: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PSG are clear favorites: they sit 1st in the table and win 79% of home matches, scoring 2.5 goals per game on average with an average xG of 2.32 vs opponents' 0.89. In their last 5 matches PSG have scored 12 goals and average 2.4 points per game, while Nantes have not won in that period (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses), scoring only 3 goals and averaging 0.6 points per game. The gap in chance quality is significant: the home side average 20.14 shots and 7.21 on target per match with a 12% conversion rate, whereas the visitors away manage only 9.29 shots and 2.71 on target with an 8% conversion rate. Defensively PSG concede 0.71 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 64% of games, while Nantes concede 1.36 goals away, have 29% clean sheets and failed to score in 50% of their away fixtures. Considering these figures (2.5 vs 0.71 goals per game, xG 2.32 vs 0.98 and recent form: 12 goals vs 3), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Season statistics show a large disparity: PSG scored 62 and conceded 25, while Nantes have 25 for and 46 against. Seasonal percentage of matches with both teams scoring is 53% for PSG and 43% for Nantes against a league average of 49%, giving only a moderate home-side signal for BTTS - Yes, but weaker figures for the away team. In the last 5 matches PSG average 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, whereas Nantes average just 0.6 scored and 1.0 conceded, and both teams have 40% BTTS in their last 5 fixtures, which weakens the likelihood of both teams scoring. PSG creates more chances (recent xG 2.0 vs 1.36 for Nantes and on average 11.73 shots and 3.33 on target vs 9.29 and 2.71 for Nantes), so the hosts are the primary source of goals; with Nantes averaging 0.71 goals away and PSG’s improved defense over the last 5 matches, the projection leans toward BTTS - No (60% vs 40%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on average xG and current form: I project 1.54 goals for PSG (seasonal xG 1.27, xG in last 5 matches 2.0; PSG scored 12 goals in their last 5, averaging 2.4) and 1.17 for Nantes (seasonal xG 0.98, xG in last 5 matches 1.36; Nantes scored 3 goals in their last 5, averaging 0.6), totaling 2.71. With this total (lambda=2.71) a Poisson distribution yields a probability of over 1.5 goals of about 75%, over 2.5 about 51% and over 3.5 about 29%. Seasonal indicators support the forecast: PSG matches have a 73% chance of >1.5 goals, Nantes matches 57% for >1.5, and the league average goals is 2.78 (close to 2.71). PSG generates more chances (11.73 shots and 3.33 on target on average) and a higher conversion rate 9% vs Nantes 8%, while Nantes have conceded 46 goals this season, emphasizing the home side’s scoring opportunity. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 — a 75% probability provides a clear edge compared to the 2.5 line (51%) and 3.5 (29%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
PSG have won 4 of their last 5 home matches (80%) and were leading at the break in 3 of 5 (60%), with an average first-half goals of 0.8 versus Nantes’ 0.4 over that period. Nantes have failed to win any of their last 5 away matches (0%) and were level at the break in 4 of 5 (80%), which hampers their ability to stage a turnaround after halftime. PSG generate better chances: xG 1.27 vs 0.98, averaging 11.73 shots (3.33 on target) compared to Nantes’ 9.29 shots and 2.71 on target, and season first-half goals of 0.6 vs 0.43. Additionally, over the last 5 matches the hosts average 2.4 goals versus Nantes’ 0.6, so the combination of higher-quality chances and current form makes PSG leading at the break and winning at full-time the most likely scenario (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PSG | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PSG is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - PSG · 0.6 pts / match - Nantes
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSG is 157% better for: goals scored per match.
2.21 goals / match - PSG · 0.86 goals / match - Nantes
PSG is 79% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.89 goals / match - PSG · 1.59 goals / match - Nantes
PSG scores in 93% of matches (26 of 28 matches), while Nantes keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Nantes scores in 59% of matches (17 of 29 matches), while PSG keeps a clean sheet in 50% (14 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSG
Over / Under - Nantes
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSG is 62% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / match - PSG · 1.17 pts / match - Nantes
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSG - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nantes - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PSG
Nantes
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| PSG | Liga | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.11 | 2.78 | ▼ 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 49% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 51% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 29% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: PSG 1 - 0 - 0 Nantes. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of PSG vs Nantes?
The Ligue 1 match finished PSG 3:0 Nantes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSG vs Nantes?
PSG score 2.21 goals per game on average and Nantes 0.86. The Ligue 1 average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 43% of PSG's matches and 48% of Nantes's.
What form are PSG and Nantes in?
Over the last 5 games PSG have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Nantes 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSG vs Nantes?
The statistical background for PSG vs Nantes — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.