PSG vs Paris: match statistics
PSG demonstrates a decisive advantage across all key statistics. The hosts occupy 2nd place in the table with an 86% home win rate, while Paris FC ranks 14th with just 25% away wins. PSG boasts an impressive +14 goal difference in home matches, scoring an average of 2.43 goals while conceding only 0.43, which translates to 86% clean sheets. Paris FC concedes an average of 1.75 goals away and holds a negative goal difference of -5. The gap in quality is also evident in xG statistics: PSG generates 2.48 xG at home compared to Paris FC's 1.12 xG away. Current form also favors the hosts—PSG averages 2.2 points in recent matches, whereas Paris FC averages only 1.0 point. Considering all these factors, a decisive PSG victory is the most probable scenario.
PSG vs Paris: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
PSG played Paris in Ligue 1 (France). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
PSG: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Paris: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
PSG scores 2.19 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Paris scores 1.31 and concedes 1.81. League average: 2.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: PSG 38%, Paris 63%. Over 2.5: PSG 44%, Paris 56%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
PSG has higher xG: 2.11 vs 1.34. PSG: 17.7 shots per match, Paris: 12.4.
Match halves
PSG: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.19. Paris: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
PSG: 76-90+ (8 goals). Paris: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 2.84 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PSG demonstrates a decisive advantage across all key statistics. The hosts occupy 2nd place in the table with an 86% home win rate, while Paris FC ranks 14th with just 25% away wins. PSG boasts an impressive +14 goal difference in home matches, scoring an average of 2.43 goals while conceding only 0.43, which translates to 86% clean sheets. Paris FC concedes an average of 1.75 goals away and holds a negative goal difference of -5. The gap in quality is also evident in xG statistics: PSG generates 2.48 xG at home compared to Paris FC's 1.12 xG away. Current form also favors the hosts—PSG averages 2.2 points in recent matches, whereas Paris FC averages only 1.0 point. Considering all these factors, a decisive PSG victory is the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| PSG | Paris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PSG is 500% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - PSG · 0.4 pts / match - Paris
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSG is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
2.19 goals / match - PSG · 1.31 goals / match - Paris
PSG is 106% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - PSG · 1.81 goals / match - Paris
PSG scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Paris keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
Paris scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while PSG keeps a clean sheet in 50% (8 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - PSG
Over / Under - Paris
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSG is 132% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / match - PSG · 0.81 pts / match - Paris
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
PSG - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 69%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
PSG
Paris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| PSG | Liga | Paris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.06 | 2.84 | ▲ 3.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 49% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 28% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 81% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of PSG vs Paris?
The Ligue 1 match finished PSG 2:1 Paris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before PSG vs Paris?
PSG score 2.19 goals per game on average and Paris 1.31. The Ligue 1 average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 38% of PSG's matches and 63% of Paris's.
What form are PSG and Paris in?
Over the last 5 games PSG have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Paris 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for PSG vs Paris?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for PSG vs Paris: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.